Observation #29872

← Research Observations / #29872

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,989.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,567,611,242

Synced: 10-12 03:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8036

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 01:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000852%

Annualized7.47%

Premium-0.00043180

Settled at: 2026-10-12 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,127.60

OI (USD)$3,204,967,794

Mark price$84,059.00

Funding next0.000883%

Day vol (USD)$1,495,104,652

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.527%

Change 4h -1.276%

Change 24h -0.225%

Z-score 7d -0.74

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000656%

Avg 24h 0.000095%

Percentile 7d 31.0%

Percentile 30d 19.0%

Δ 4h -0.000594%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.422%

Divergence 1.83

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.241

OI / Vol z-7d

0.31

OI momentum 4h

-3.488%

Funding +ratio 24h

56.0%

Sign streak

+14 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #291576	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.620	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 44%	late 20b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.14	39%	↓ -0.25	value	+3.09	—	#146494	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #292366	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.572	expansion_after_compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b 0.7ATR	near 0.3ATR	near -0.4ATR	0.94	57%	↑ +0.39	value	+3.84	—	#146866	—	—	—	—	12/10 01:00 upd 12/10 02:05	↗
15m #292303	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.595	expansion_after_compression	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 1b 0.9ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.38	50%	↔ -0.07	value	+3.84	—	#146866	—	—	—	—	12/10 01:45 upd 12/10 02:00	↗
5m #292302	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.673	volatile_reversal	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 53%	early 5b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.43	50%	↓ -0.62	value	+3.84	—	#146866	—	—	—	—	12/10 01:55 upd 12/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194398	fresh	2026-10-12 01:00	0s	0.565	0.528	42/75	2026-10-12 02:00	2026-10-12 02:35
4h #194249	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	2h	0.521	0.503	48/74	2026-10-12 00:00	2026-10-12 00:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	6h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #146942	fresh	2026-10-12 01:45	0s	$83,846.33	$84,141.58	$83,528.79	value	0.84	3.61
7d #147019	fresh	2026-10-12 01:00	0s	$82,964.60	$84,363.80	$80,931.80	value	3.31	11.09
30d #146716	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,187.00	hvn	-0.64	9.94

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,172.26 → $83,361.67	0.23%	1.11	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $627.33	+3.69

Prix observé : $83,989.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,773.40	0.52%	1.37	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,215.60	+10.39
below	$84,311.00 → $85,208.60	1.06%	2.90	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $322.00	-1.04
below	$86,528.60 → $86,687.00	0.18%	0.51	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,539.60	-8.21

Prix observé : $83,989.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.71	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,667.07	+14.69
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.55	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,535.13	+5.99
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.89	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,958.33	-5.01

Prix observé : $83,989.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	-0.13%	-0.34×	+0.05×	-0.42×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.13%	24.06%	0.18%	$11.84M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	+0.42%	+1.09×	+1.29×	-0.43×	55m	25m	Low first	0.55	0.00%	+0.42%	32.64%	0.67%	$73.54M	02:55 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	-0.45%	-1.15×	+1.35×	-1.84×	1h10m	3h45m	High first	0.14	0.00%	-0.45%	30.00%	1.24%	$337.10M	02:55 / —	04:15 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	-1.67%	-4.27×	+1.35×	-4.66×	1h10m	11h35m	High first	0.16	0.00%	-1.67%	31.89%	2.35%	$1.23B	02:55 / —	04:15 / 08:20	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	-0.39%	-1.00×	+1.35×	-8.77×	1h10m	18h50m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.39%	35.03%	3.95%	$3.11B	02:55 / —	04:15 / 08:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T05:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}