Observation #29950

← Research Observations / #29950

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,180.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,625,347,144

Synced: 10-12 04:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7679

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001106%

Annualized9.69%

Premium-0.00041149

Settled at: 2026-10-12 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,203.59

OI (USD)$3,211,966,750

Mark price$84,075.00

Funding next0.001161%

Day vol (USD)$1,522,740,471

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 02:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.215%

Change 4h -0.413%

Change 24h +0.163%

Z-score 7d 0.27

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000852%

Avg 24h 0.000139%

Percentile 7d 36.9%

Percentile 30d 24.4%

Δ 4h +0.000077%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.463%

Divergence 1.25

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.144

OI / Vol z-7d

0.21

OI momentum 4h

-2.023%

Funding +ratio 24h

60.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #291576	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.620	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 44%	late 20b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.14	39%	↓ -0.25	value	+3.09	—	#146494	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #292741	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.577	expansion_after_compression	bull_low	45%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 2b 1.5ATR	—	near -1.5ATR	1.01	63%	↑ +0.38	value	+3.31	—	#147019	—	—	—	—	12/10 02:00 upd 12/10 03:05	↗
15m #292678	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.717	expansion_after_compression	range_low	45%	noisy_chop 46%	late 5b 1.6ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	2.55	94%	↑ +0.34	value	+3.31	—	#147019	—	—	—	—	12/10 02:45 upd 12/10 03:00	↗
5m #292677	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.529	expansion	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 46%	late 6b 2.3ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	6.40	96%	↑ +0.25	value	+3.31	—	#147019	—	—	—	—	12/10 02:55 upd 12/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194473	fresh	2026-10-12 02:00	0s	0.566	0.541	41/77	2026-10-12 03:00	2026-10-12 03:35
4h #194249	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	3h	0.521	0.503	48/74	2026-10-12 00:00	2026-10-12 00:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	7h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #147096	fresh	2026-10-12 02:45	0s	$83,840.41	$84,110.27	$83,524.62	between	1.82	3.14
7d #147174	fresh	2026-10-12 02:00	0s	$82,964.60	$84,363.80	$81,037.40	value	3.71	10.16
30d #146716	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,187.00	hvn	-0.64	9.94

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,157.15 → $83,352.37	0.23%	1.05	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $827.63	+4.44
below	$84,190.65 → $84,294.00	0.12%	0.55	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $10.6500	-0.06

Prix observé : $84,180.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,773.40	0.52%	1.29	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,406.60	+10.41
below	$84,311.00 → $85,208.60	1.06%	2.74	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $131.00	-0.40
below	$86,475.80 → $86,687.00	0.24%	0.65	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,295.80	-7.01

Prix observé : $84,180.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.71	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,858.07	+15.01
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.55	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,726.13	+6.31
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.89	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,767.33	-4.69

Prix observé : $84,180.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.11%	-0.27×	+0.26×	-0.29×	10m	15m	High first	0.34	0.00%	-0.11%	72.10%	0.22%	$21.72M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	-0.55%	-1.39×	+0.26×	-1.39×	10m	1h	High first	0.64	0.00%	-0.55%	34.06%	0.65%	$76.31M	— / —	04:00 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	-0.98%	-2.48×	+0.26×	-2.89×	10m	2h45m	High first	0.34	0.00%	-0.98%	25.34%	1.24%	$336.10M	— / —	04:00 / 04:15	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	-2.06%	-5.23×	+0.26×	-5.93×	10m	11h45m	High first	0.21	0.00%	-2.06%	30.53%	2.44%	$1.20B	— / —	04:00 / 04:15	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	-0.71%	-1.81×	+0.26×	-9.73×	10m	17h50m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.71%	34.60%	3.94%	$3.11B	— / —	04:00 / 04:15	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}