Observation #30603

← Research Observations / #30603

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,555.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,185,413,598

Synced: 10-12 12:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0909

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 10:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001227%

Annualized10.75%

Premium-0.00040183

Settled at: 2026-10-12 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,149.28

OI (USD)$3,148,956,173

Mark price$82,543.00

Funding next0.001233%

Day vol (USD)$2,369,483,785

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 10:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.774%

Change 4h -1.407%

Change 24h -0.064%

Z-score 7d 1.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000806%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.101%

Divergence -0.67

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.426

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.54

OI momentum 4h

-3.405%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+23 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	15h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #294691	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.598	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 38%	late 22b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.26	49%	↔ +0.03	above_value	+1.54	—	#147894	—	—	—	—	12/10 04:00 upd 12/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #295939	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.571	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 36%	late 7b -1.8ATR	—	—	1.55	82%	↑ +0.60	above_value	-0.18	—	#148468	—	—	—	—	12/10 10:00 upd 12/10 11:05	↗
15m #295871	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.747	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	29%	noisy_chop 42%	late 3b -1.7ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.93	85%	↑ +0.73	above_value	-0.18	—	#148468	—	—	—	—	12/10 10:45 upd 12/10 11:00	↗
5m #295870	fresh	0s	↓ down	pullback	bear_trend	moderate	balanced	0.443	expansion	bear_low	44%	noisy_chop 29%	early 9b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.40	58%	↓ -0.32	above_value	-0.18	—	#148468	—	—	—	—	12/10 10:55 upd 12/10 11:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195270	fresh	2026-10-12 10:00	0s	0.592	0.453	33/82	2026-10-12 11:00	2026-10-12 11:35
4h #195026	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	3h	0.523	0.487	43/81	2026-10-12 08:00	2026-10-12 08:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	15h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #148550	fresh	2026-10-12 10:45	0s	$83,835.63	$84,152.50	$83,258.75	between	-5.24	3.66
7d #148633	fresh	2026-10-12 10:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,300.38	$81,720.12	hvn	-1.15	6.53
30d #148140	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,291.73	hvn	-1.08	9.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,365.00 → $82,543.75	0.22%	0.73	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $11.2500	+0.05
below	$84,185.00 → $84,315.00	0.15%	0.53	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,630.00	-6.67

Prix observé : $82,555.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,772.27	0.52%	1.07	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,782.73	+4.51
below	$84,353.03 → $85,195.57	0.99%	2.13	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,798.03	-4.55
below	$86,354.05 → $86,670.00	0.37%	0.80	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,799.05	-9.61

Prix observé : $82,555.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.68	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,233.07	+11.76
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.41	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,101.13	+3.42
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.85	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,392.33	-7.14

Prix observé : $82,555.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	11:05	11:20	+0.09%	+0.19×	+0.31×	-0.11×	10m	10m	Tied	0.53	0.00%	+0.09%	37.98%	0.19%	$16.88M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	11:05	12:05	+0.25%	+0.55×	+0.55×	-0.11×	1h	10m	Low first	0.37	0.00%	+0.25%	27.00%	0.30%	$54.33M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	11:05	15:05	-0.16%	-0.35×	+0.77×	-0.95×	1h20m	3h45m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-0.16%	23.23%	0.80%	$233.14M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	11:05	23:05	+0.28%	+0.61×	+1.27×	-4.24×	5h50m	9h50m	High first	0.03	0.00%	+0.28%	33.68%	2.56%	$1.68B	16:05 / —	18:55 / 19:05	—	100%
1d	computed	11:05	11:05	+1.18%	+2.54×	+3.92×	-4.24×	17h10m	9h50m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+1.18%	38.33%	3.79%	$3.14B	16:05 / 23:30	18:55 / 19:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}