Observation #30690

← Research Observations / #30690

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,686.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,121,264,872

Synced: 10-12 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 11:00) Next (10-12 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0966

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 11:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001248%

Annualized10.94%

Premium-0.00040013

Settled at: 2026-10-12 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,244.29

OI (USD)$3,164,179,872

Mark price$82,736.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,210,292,687

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.503%

Change 4h -1.342%

Change 24h -0.326%

Z-score 7d -0.69

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001227%

Avg 24h 0.000897%

Percentile 7d 49.4%

Percentile 30d 34.9%

Δ 4h -0.000023%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.816%

Divergence -0.22

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.329

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.64

OI momentum 4h

-2.558%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+24 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	16h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #296331	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.389	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 2b -1.2ATR	—	—	2.50	82%	↑ +0.27	above_value	-1.15	inside	#148633	—	—	—	—	12/10 08:00 upd 12/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #296330	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.565	volatile_reversal	range_medium	28%	noisy_chop 36%	late 8b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.32	17%	↑ +0.40	above_value	-1.15	—	#148633	—	—	—	—	12/10 11:00 upd 12/10 12:05	↗
15m #296265	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.560	volatile_reversal	bear_low	29%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b -0.8ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -0.1ATR	0.24	46%	↔ +0.02	above_value	-1.15	—	#148633	—	—	—	—	12/10 11:45 upd 12/10 12:00	↗
5m #296264	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.379	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 37%	early 13b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.27	24%	↓ -0.68	above_value	-1.15	—	#148633	—	—	—	—	12/10 11:55 upd 12/10 12:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195352	fresh	2026-10-12 11:00	0s	0.533	0.470	42/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:35
4h #195438	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	0s	0.584	0.455	27/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	16h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #148716	fresh	2026-10-12 11:45	0s	$83,835.63	$84,217.50	$83,258.75	between	-5.28	4.41
7d #148799	fresh	2026-10-12 11:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,300.38	$81,772.78	hvn	-0.85	6.59
30d #148882	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,291.73	value	-2.25	8.95

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,365.00 → $82,495.00	0.16%	0.60	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $191.00	+0.88
below	$83,015.00 → $83,258.75	0.29%	1.12	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↓ $329.00	-1.51
below	$84,201.25 → $84,315.00	0.14%	0.52	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,515.25	-6.97

Prix observé : $82,686.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.96	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,966.39	+5.13
below	$84,353.03 → $85,300.88	1.12%	2.47	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,667.03	-4.35
below	$86,406.71 → $86,670.00	0.30%	0.69	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,720.71	-9.70

Prix observé : $82,686.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.65	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,364.07	+11.44
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.25	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,232.13	+3.47
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.81	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,261.33	-6.62

Prix observé : $82,686.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	12:05	12:20	+0.05%	+0.11×	+0.21×	0.00×	10m	5m	High first	0.67	0.00%	+0.05%	17.70%	0.10%	$32.21M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	12:05	13:05	-0.43%	-0.91×	+0.22×	-1.05×	20m	1h	High first	0.51	0.00%	-0.43%	25.32%	0.60%	$83.31M	— / —	12:55 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	12:05	16:05	+0.09%	+0.19×	+0.22×	-1.48×	20m	2h45m	High first	0.03	0.00%	+0.09%	25.21%	0.80%	$251.14M	— / —	12:55 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	12:05	00:05	+0.65%	+1.38×	+1.91×	-4.71×	11h35m	8h50m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.65%	37.44%	3.12%	$1.80B	23:30 / —	12:55 / 18:55	—	100%
1d	computed	12:05	12:05	+0.76%	+1.61×	+3.31×	-4.71×	16h10m	8h50m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.76%	39.14%	3.78%	$3.16B	23:30 / 01:10	12:55 / 18:55	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}