Observation #31011

← Research Observations / #31011

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.083601

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,562,154

Synced: 10-12 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 14:00) Next (10-12 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0872

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 14:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001191%

Annualized-10.43%

Premium-0.00059529

Settled at: 2026-10-12 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)657,286,534.00

OI (USD)$54,913,003

Mark price$0.083545

Funding next-0.001322%

Day vol (USD)$8,127,762

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.271%

Change 4h -0.350%

Change 24h -1.445%

Z-score 7d -0.15

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000872%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 82.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.911%

Divergence -0.67

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.375

OI / Vol z-7d

0.05

OI momentum 4h

+0.087%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-12 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290282	fresh	19h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.634	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 16b -0.5ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.11	14%	↓ -0.86	value	+1.88	—	#146042	0.54	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.60	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:24	↗
4h #296508	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.514	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	late 5b -1.6ATR	—	—	2.21	44%	↔ -0.15	value	-2.67	—	#148868	0.53	bear_high	-0.93%	-0.09	12/10 08:00 upd 12/10 12:19	↗
1h anchor #297721	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.610	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 46%	late 3b -2.1ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	4.17	96%	↑ +0.77	value	-2.97	—	#149464	0.64	bear_medium	-0.96%	-0.36	12/10 14:00 upd 12/10 15:11	↗
15m #297640	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.424	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -1.1ATR	near -1.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.68	92%	↑ +0.32	value	-2.98	—	#149299	0.55	bear_low	-0.90%	-0.18	12/10 14:45 upd 12/10 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195763	fresh	2026-10-12 14:00	0s	0.628	0.355	3/80	2026-10-12 15:00	2026-10-12 15:37
4h #195510	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	3h	0.460	0.308	65/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:39
1d #193941	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	19h	0.347	0.423	73/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149382	fresh	2026-10-12 14:45	0s	$0.083772	$0.086879	$0.082546	hvn	-0.29	7.32
7d #149464	fresh	2026-10-12 14:00	0s	$0.086886	$0.089904	$0.082527	value	-2.97	6.67
30d #148951	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	3h	$0.096419	$0.109756	$0.083493	value	-5.66	12.39

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.084883 → $0.085225	0.40%	0.58	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001282	-2.17
below	$0.085282 → $0.085795	0.60%	0.87	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001681	-2.84
below	$0.088703 → $0.089387	0.77%	1.16	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005102	-8.62

Prix observé : $0.083601. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.089903 → $0.090976	1.19%	0.97	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006302	-5.70
below	$0.092854 → $0.095805	3.13%	2.67	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009253	-8.37

Prix observé : $0.083601. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.079800	4.20%	1.55	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003801	+1.79
below	$0.117553 → $0.125760	6.75%	3.87	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.033952	-16.01

Prix observé : $0.083601. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T18:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}