Observation #31093

← Research Observations / #31093

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.084288

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,760,121

Synced: 10-12 17:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 15:00) Next (10-12 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1667

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 15:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039108

Settled at: 2026-10-12 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)655,592,444.00

OI (USD)$55,299,878

Mark price$0.084351

Funding next0.001038%

Day vol (USD)$8,521,437

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.380%

Change 4h -1.607%

Change 24h -2.607%

Z-score 7d -1.90

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001191%

Avg 24h 0.000774%

Percentile 7d 1.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.7%

Δ 4h -0.002210%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.259%

Divergence 0.99

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.756

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.24

OI momentum 4h

-0.931%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-12 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290282	fresh	20h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.634	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 16b -0.5ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.11	14%	↓ -0.86	value	+1.88	—	#146042	0.54	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.60	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:24	↗
4h #298200	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.578	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 6b -1.3ATR	—	—	3.24	60%	↔ +0.13	value	-2.36	—	#149626	0.53	bear_high	-0.73%	-0.06	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 16:19	↗
1h anchor #298199	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.604	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 1b -1.3ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.42	76%	↑ +0.79	value	-2.36	—	#149626	0.64	range_medium	-0.46%	-0.36	12/10 15:00 upd 12/10 16:19	↗
15m #298021	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.390	compression	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 7b 0.3ATR	near 0.2ATR	near -1.3ATR	1.01	94%	↔ +0.12	value	-2.97	—	#149464	0.59	range_low	-0.36%	-0.04	12/10 15:45 upd 12/10 16:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195843	fresh	2026-10-12 15:00	0s	0.594	0.450	11/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:37
4h #195923	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	0s	0.544	0.390	25/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:39
1d #193941	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	20h	0.347	0.423	73/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149545	fresh	2026-10-12 15:45	0s	$0.083772	$0.086651	$0.082546	hvn	0.91	7.21
7d #149626	fresh	2026-10-12 15:00	0s	$0.086886	$0.089904	$0.082527	value	-2.36	6.69
30d #149707	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	0s	$0.096419	$0.109756	$0.083083	value	-6.03	12.56

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.084883 → $0.085225	0.40%	0.60	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000595	-1.05
below	$0.085282 → $0.085795	0.60%	0.90	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000994	-1.75
below	$0.088703 → $0.089387	0.77%	1.20	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004415	-7.76

Prix observé : $0.084288. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.089903 → $0.090976	1.19%	0.97	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005615	-5.09
below	$0.092854 → $0.095805	3.13%	2.68	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008566	-7.77

Prix observé : $0.084288. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.079800	4.20%	1.55	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004488	+2.11
below	$0.117553 → $0.125760	6.75%	3.86	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.033265	-15.66

Prix observé : $0.084288. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}