Observation #31189

← Research Observations / #31189

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,536.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,354,598,344

Synced: 10-12 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 17:00) Next (10-12 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2616

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 17:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000892%

Annualized7.81%

Premium-0.00042868

Settled at: 2026-10-12 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,564.40

OI (USD)$3,187,848,969

Mark price$82,663.00

Funding next0.000972%

Day vol (USD)$2,180,940,411

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 17:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h 0.000%

Change 4h +0.693%

Change 24h +1.648%

Z-score 7d 0.01

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000915%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.001030%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.070%

Divergence -0.29

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.585

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.39

OI momentum 4h

+0.660%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+30 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	22h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #298033	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.397	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.87	29%	↑ +0.39	above_value	-1.58	inside	#149395	—	—	—	—	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #298873	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.380	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.35	79%	↑ +0.23	above_value	+0.15	—	#149802	—	—	—	—	12/10 17:00 upd 12/10 18:05	↗
15m #298808	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.673	normal	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 4b -1.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	2.23	94%	↑ +0.68	above_value	+0.15	—	#149802	—	—	—	—	12/10 17:45 upd 12/10 18:00	↗
5m #298807	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.771	expansion	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 51%	late 1b -2.5ATR	—	—	0.61	68%	↑ +0.53	above_value	+0.15	—	#149802	—	—	—	—	12/10 17:55 upd 12/10 18:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196017	fresh	2026-10-12 17:00	0s	0.611	0.461	9/84	2026-10-12 18:00	2026-10-12 18:35
4h #195856	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	2h	0.523	0.489	34/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	22h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149884	fresh	2026-10-12 17:45	0s	$82,698.26	$83,630.67	$82,330.43	value	-0.85	6.79
7d #149967	fresh	2026-10-12 17:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,247.72	$81,983.41	hvn	-1.18	5.63
30d #149639	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,291.73	value	-2.52	8.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,262.00 → $82,381.76	0.15%	0.63	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $154.24	+0.81
below	$83,134.53 → $83,322.72	0.23%	0.98	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $598.52	-3.13
below	$84,126.81 → $84,315.00	0.22%	0.98	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,590.81	-8.31

Prix observé : $82,536.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.92	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,816.39	+4.51
below	$84,405.69 → $85,353.54	1.12%	2.35	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,869.69	-4.65
below	$86,406.71 → $86,670.00	0.30%	0.65	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,870.71	-9.62

Prix observé : $82,536.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.65	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,214.07	+11.18
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.25	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,082.13	+3.23
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.81	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,411.33	-6.84

Prix observé : $82,536.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	18:05	18:20	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.34×	-0.14×	5m	15m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.01%	12.77%	0.24%	$22.49M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	18:05	19:05	-0.71%	-1.39×	+0.34×	-1.57×	5m	1h	High first	0.65	0.00%	-0.71%	39.81%	0.97%	$143.03M	— / —	18:55 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	18:05	22:05	-0.17%	-0.33×	+0.34×	-3.77×	5m	2h50m	High first	0.04	0.00%	-0.17%	42.67%	2.10%	$883.80M	— / —	18:55 / 19:05	—	100%
12h	computed	18:05	06:05	+1.15%	+2.26×	+3.65×	-3.77×	10h10m	2h50m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+1.15%	39.22%	3.79%	$1.92B	22:55 / 23:35	18:55 / 19:05	—	100%
1d	computed	18:05	18:05	+0.95%	+1.87×	+3.65×	-3.77×	10h10m	2h50m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.95%	38.20%	3.79%	$3.04B	22:55 / 23:35	18:55 / 19:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}