Observation #31106

← Research Observations / #31106

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,068.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,200,914,102

Synced: 10-12 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 16:00) Next (10-12 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5128

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 16:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00030207

Settled at: 2026-10-12 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,324.44

OI (USD)$3,185,102,219

Mark price$83,108.90

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,009,614,422

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 16:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.682%

Change 4h +0.210%

Change 24h +1.756%

Z-score 7d 0.95

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000915%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.000002%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.730%

Divergence 1.24

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.627

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.34

OI momentum 4h

+1.576%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+29 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #298033	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.397	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.87	29%	↑ +0.39	above_value	-1.58	inside	#149395	—	—	—	—	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #298491	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.381	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 34%	early 2b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.61	43%	↔ +0.05	above_value	-0.46	—	#149558	—	—	—	—	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 17:05	↗
15m #298429	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.577	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 42%	late 8b 2.0ATR	—	—	2.51	93%	↑ +0.18	above_value	-0.46	—	#149558	—	—	—	—	12/10 16:45 upd 12/10 17:00	↗
5m #298428	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.339	compression	range_low	40%	ranging_calm 53%	late 20b 2.2ATR	—	—	4.90	99%	↑ +0.20	above_value	-0.46	—	#149558	—	—	—	—	12/10 16:55 upd 12/10 17:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195936	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	0.574	0.507	14/81	2026-10-12 17:00	2026-10-12 17:35
4h #195856	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	1h	0.523	0.489	34/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	21h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149720	fresh	2026-10-12 16:45	0s	$82,732.48	$83,647.78	$82,330.43	value	1.98	7.76
7d #149802	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,300.38	$81,930.75	hvn	0.15	6.26
30d #149639	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,291.73	value	-2.52	8.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,262.00 → $82,398.87	0.17%	0.81	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $669.13	+3.94
below	$83,117.42 → $83,271.39	0.19%	0.91	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $49.4167	-0.29
below	$84,126.81 → $84,315.00	0.22%	1.11	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,058.81	-6.24

Prix observé : $83,068.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.97	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,348.39	+6.20
below	$84,405.69 → $85,353.54	1.12%	2.50	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,337.69	-3.53
below	$86,406.71 → $86,670.00	0.30%	0.70	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,338.71	-8.82

Prix observé : $83,068.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.65	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,746.07	+12.01
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.25	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,614.13	+4.05
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.81	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,879.33	-6.01

Prix observé : $83,068.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	17:05	17:20	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.00×	-0.37×	5m	5m	Tied	0.06	0.00%	-0.01%	34.28%	0.18%	$82.60M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	17:05	18:05	-0.43%	-0.88×	+0.00×	-1.38×	5m	45m	High first	0.50	0.00%	-0.43%	33.11%	0.67%	$190.91M	— / —	17:45 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	17:05	21:05	-1.70%	-3.51×	+0.00×	-4.84×	5m	3h50m	High first	0.39	0.00%	-1.70%	38.25%	2.35%	$874.43M	— / —	17:45 / 18:55	—	100%
12h	computed	17:05	05:05	+0.54%	+1.11×	+2.95×	-4.84×	11h10m	3h50m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.54%	39.65%	3.78%	$2.03B	23:30 / 01:20	17:45 / 18:55	—	100%
1d	computed	17:05	17:05	+0.54%	+1.11×	+2.95×	-4.84×	11h10m	3h50m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.54%	38.58%	3.78%	$3.17B	23:30 / 01:20	17:45 / 18:55	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}