Observation #31342

← Research Observations / #31342

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.077128

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,081,648

Synced: 10-12 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 18:00) Next (10-12 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1443

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 18:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000922

Settled at: 2026-10-12 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)78,988,586.00

OI (USD)$6,094,838

Mark price$0.077161

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,057,369

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.932%

Change 4h -0.657%

Change 24h -2.110%

Z-score 7d -0.58

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 83.3%

Percentile 30d 74.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -4.177%

Divergence -0.95

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.045

OI / Vol z-7d

0.06

OI momentum 4h

-0.945%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1058 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290278	fresh	23h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.491	volatile_reversal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.29	84%	↓ -0.74	value	+2.60	—	#146040	0.30	bull_high	+9.88%	+1.00	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:23	↗
4h #298188	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.485	expansion	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 7b -1.5ATR	near -1.9ATR	—	0.35	42%	↔ -0.04	below_value	-3.06	—	#149622	0.12	bear_high	-0.73%	-0.52	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 16:18	↗
1h anchor #299337	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.392	normal	bear_high	57%	ranging_calm 55%	late 12b -3.0ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.73	46%	↑ +0.31	below_value	-4.87	inside	#150203	0.18	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.28%	-0.91	12/10 18:00 upd 12/10 19:12	↗
15m #299257	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.477	compression	bear_high	62%	ranging_calm 56%	late 20b -3.2ATR	—	—	0.38	29%	↑ +0.56	below_value	-4.04	—	#150033	0.21	bear_low_confirmed	-1.12%	-0.53	12/10 18:45 upd 12/10 19:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196169	fresh	2026-10-12 18:00	0s	0.380	0.164	80/84	2026-10-12 19:00	2026-10-12 19:37
4h #195920	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	3h	0.290	0.352	77/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:39
1d #193939	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	23h	0.603	0.790	25/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150118	fresh	2026-10-12 18:45	0s	$0.089022	$0.096011	$0.084282	between	-14.48	14.28
7d #150203	fresh	2026-10-12 18:00	0s	$0.087728	$0.094220	$0.084150	lvn LVN	-4.87	4.62
30d #149703	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	3h	$0.087333	$0.122860	$0.078567	value	-1.48	9.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.078337 → $0.079622	1.63%	1.57	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001209	-1.47
below	$0.082996 → $0.085246	2.67%	2.74	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $0.005868	-7.14
below	$0.087013 → $0.088299	1.47%	1.57	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.009885	-12.03

Prix observé : $0.077128. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.076730 → $0.080705	5.05%	1.83	0.87	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.104555 → $0.108530	3.73%	1.83	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027427	-12.59

Prix observé : $0.077128. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.038888 → $0.046270	17.34%	1.61	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.030858	+6.73
above	$0.047193 → $0.049961	5.70%	0.60	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027167	+5.92
above	$0.050884 → $0.061957	19.63%	2.41	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015171	+3.31
above	$0.071185 → $0.075799	6.28%	1.01	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001329	+0.29

Prix observé : $0.077128. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T22:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}