Observation #31427

← Research Observations / #31427

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.076575

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,350,378

Synced: 10-12 21:01 +1h

← Prev (10-12 19:00) Next (10-12 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0564

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 19:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00004510

Settled at: 2026-10-12 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)78,216,272.00

OI (USD)$5,982,372

Mark price$0.076485

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,095,317

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 19:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.560%

Change 4h -1.634%

Change 24h -2.448%

Z-score 7d -0.35

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 83.3%

Percentile 30d 74.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -5.263%

Divergence -0.98

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.962

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.01

OI momentum 4h

-2.172%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1059 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299994	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.598	volatile_reversal	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 41%	early 7b -0.6ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.29	83%	↓ -0.77	below_value	-5.24	—	#150373	0.30	bull_high	+7.21%	-0.17	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:27	↗
4h #299893	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.483	expansion	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	late 8b -2.1ATR	—	—	0.71	55%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-5.24	inside	#150373	0.13	bear_high_confirmed	-1.92%	-0.76	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:23	↗
1h anchor #299891	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.393	normal	bear_high	56%	ranging_calm 54%	late 13b -2.9ATR	—	—	1.02	56%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-5.24	inside	#150373	0.17	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.61%	-0.91	12/10 19:00 upd 12/10 20:23	↗
15m #299666	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.753	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 2b -2.3ATR	—	—	1.20	75%	↑ +0.42	below_value	-4.87	—	#150203	0.20	bear_low_confirmed	-1.38%	-0.40	12/10 19:45 upd 12/10 20:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196253	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	0.356	0.078	80/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:37
4h #196337	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	0.245	0.255	82/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:39
1d #196421	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	0s	0.360	0.447	58/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150288	fresh	2026-10-12 19:45	0s	$0.089083	$0.096011	$0.082322	between	-14.10	15.44
7d #150373	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	$0.087778	$0.094424	$0.084116	lvn LVN	-5.24	4.89
30d #150458	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	$0.087333	$0.122860	$0.077644	between	-2.34	9.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.078315 → $0.079651	1.69%	1.51	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001740	-1.96
below	$0.083323 → $0.085327	2.38%	2.26	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.006748	-7.61
below	$0.086996 → $0.088165	1.33%	1.32	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $0.010421	-11.75

Prix observé : $0.076575. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.075978 → $0.080047	5.22%	1.93	0.89	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.104461 → $0.108530	3.82%	1.93	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027886	-13.23

Prix observé : $0.076575. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.038888 → $0.046270	17.34%	1.60	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.030305	+6.55
above	$0.047193 → $0.049961	5.70%	0.60	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026614	+5.75
above	$0.050884 → $0.061957	19.63%	2.39	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014618	+3.16
above	$0.071185 → $0.075799	6.28%	1.00	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000776	+0.17

Prix observé : $0.076575. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}