Observation #31425

← Research Observations / #31425

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.8466

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,726,658

Synced: 10-12 21:01 +1h

← Prev (10-12 19:00) Next (10-12 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0564

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 19:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000823%

Annualized-7.21%

Premium-0.00056582

Settled at: 2026-10-12 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,908,247.60

OI (USD)$10,891,264

Mark price$1.8434

Funding next-0.000855%

Day vol (USD)$4,412,799

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 19:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.140%

Change 4h -2.044%

Change 24h -4.281%

Z-score 7d -1.30

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001137%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h +0.000196%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.269%

Divergence -0.88

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.604

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.96

OI momentum 4h

-3.927%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+47 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299990	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.460	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 44b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.85	69%	↓ -0.64	above_value	-0.05	—	#150371	0.48	bull_high	+7.21%	-0.89	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:27	↗
4h #299885	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.536	normal	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 36%	late 3b -1.6ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	2.27	70%	↑ +0.78	above_value	-0.05	inside	#150371	0.53	bear_high_confirmed	-1.92%	+0.11	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:23	↗
1h anchor #299883	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.277	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 43%	late 2b -2.1ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.18	90%	↑ +0.56	above_value	-0.05	—	#150371	0.55	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.61%	-0.23	12/10 19:00 upd 12/10 20:23	↗
15m #299664	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.401	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	53%	noisy_chop 44%	late 7b -2.0ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.40	64%	↑ +0.91	above_value	+0.74	—	#150201	0.66	bear_low_confirmed	-1.38%	-0.17	12/10 19:45 upd 12/10 20:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196251	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	0.484	0.304	46/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:37
4h #196335	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	0.507	0.332	32/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:39
1d #196419	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	0s	0.273	0.202	80/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150286	fresh	2026-10-12 19:45	0s	$1.9200	$1.9384	$1.8837	between	-5.25	3.91
7d #150371	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	$1.8483	$1.9517	$1.8228	hvn	-0.05	5.55
30d #150456	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	$2.0486	$2.1632	$1.9389	between	-4.81	5.59

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$1.8499 → $1.8658	0.86%	1.14	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.003342	-0.24

Prix observé : $1.8466. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.7300	1.75%	1.29	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.116642	+5.03
below	$1.9576 → $1.9936	1.82%	1.55	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.111042	-4.78
below	$2.0355 → $2.0595	1.17%	1.03	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.188933	-8.14

Prix observé : $1.8466. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8219	6.92%	3.04	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.024704	+0.62
below	$2.2607 → $2.2851	1.07%	0.61	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.414121	-10.32

Prix observé : $1.8466. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}