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← Research Observations / #31511
🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context
🪙 TRUMP
Market snapshot at
2026-10-12 21:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
20:00–21:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
21:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
22:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$1.8054
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $4,301,219
Synced: 10-12 22:02 +1h
← Prev (10-12 20:00) Next (10-12 22:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_consolidation
Environmenttrend_consolidation
Participationalt_capitulation
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.0463
evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 20:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate-0.001320%
Annualized-11.56%
Premium-0.00060560
Settled at: 2026-10-12 21:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)5,918,197.20
OI (USD)$10,693,591
Mark price$1.8069
Funding next-0.001452%
Day vol (USD)$4,747,243
Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 20:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.858%
Change 4h -2.859%
Change 24h -5.788%
Z-score 7d -0.98
💰 Funding Context settled
Current -0.000823%
Avg 24h 0.001055%
Percentile 7d 16.7%
Percentile 30d 16.7%
Δ 4h -0.002073%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -5.792%
Divergence -2.07 fort
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.468
OI / Vol z-7d
-1.00
OI momentum 4h
-3.411%
Funding +ratio 24h
96.0%
Sign streak
-1
Time: 2026-10-12 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#299990
 fresh 1h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.460 compression bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 36% mid 44b -1.1ATR — — 0.85 69% ↓ -0.64 above_value -0.05 — #150371 0.48 bull_high +7.21% -0.89
11/10 20:00
upd 12/10 20:27
 ↗
4h
#299885
 fresh 1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.536 normal bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 36% late 3b -1.6ATR near -0.2ATR — 2.27 70% ↑ +0.78 above_value -0.05 inside #150371 0.53 bear_high_confirmed -1.92% +0.11
12/10 16:00
upd 12/10 20:23
 ↗
1h anchor
#300322
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.271 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 46% late 3b -2.9ATR — — 1.81 96% ↑ +0.60 below_value -1.68 inside #150626 0.56 bear_medium_confirmed -2.07% -0.43
12/10 20:00
upd 12/10 21:11
 ↗
15m
#300240
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.739 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 49% late 2b -2.4ATR — — 0.76 80% ↑ +0.94 above_value -0.05 — #150371 0.64 bear_low_confirmed -1.75% -0.37
12/10 20:45
upd 12/10 21:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#196503
 fresh 2026-10-12 20:00 0s 0.476 0.232 41/85 2026-10-12 21:00 2026-10-12 21:37
4h
#196335
 fresh 2026-10-12 16:00 1h 0.507 0.332 32/84 2026-10-12 20:00 2026-10-12 20:39
1d
#196419
 fresh 2026-10-11 20:00 1h 0.273 0.202 80/84 2026-10-12 20:00 2026-10-12 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#150541
 fresh 2026-10-12 20:45 0s $1.9250 $1.9476 $1.8833 lvn LVN -6.54 3.52
7d
#150626
 fresh 2026-10-12 20:00 0s $1.8502 $1.9518 $1.8230 between -1.68 4.83
30d
#150456
 fresh 2026-10-12 16:00 1h $2.0486 $2.1632 $1.9389 between -4.81 5.59

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $1.7840 → $1.8176 1.87% 1.84 0.92 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00

Prix observé : $1.8054. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $1.7000 → $1.7372 2.16% 1.40 0.80 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.068209 +2.56
below $1.9546 → $1.9947 2.03% 1.50 0.86 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.149214 -5.60

Prix observé : $1.8054. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $1.7000 → $1.8219 6.92% 3.04 0.88 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00
below $2.2607 → $2.2851 1.07% 0.61 0.88 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.455321 -11.34

Prix observé : $1.8054. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}