Observation #31445

← Research Observations / #31445

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,395.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,812,683,238

Synced: 10-12 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 20:00) Next (10-12 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0463

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 20:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000036%

Annualized-0.32%

Premium-0.00050292

Settled at: 2026-10-12 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,849.97

OI (USD)$3,079,360,257

Mark price$81,357.00

Funding next-0.000044%

Day vol (USD)$2,626,799,597

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 20:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.393%

Change 4h +0.216%

Change 24h +0.812%

Z-score 7d -1.89

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000985%

Avg 24h 0.000806%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.7%

Δ 4h -0.002235%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -2.014%

Divergence -3.49 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.300

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.69

OI momentum 4h

+0.006%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-12 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #299675	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.392	compression	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 36%	late 4b -1.7ATR	—	—	2.19	78%	↑ +0.62	value	-2.11	inside	#150135	—	—	—	—	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #300255	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.384	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 45%	late 4b -2.6ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	2.77	99%	↑ +0.38	below_value	-2.81	inside	#150305	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 12/10 21:05	↗
15m #300186	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.540	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	37%	noisy_chop 49%	late 6b -2.2ATR	—	—	2.46	100%	↑ +0.46	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:45 upd 12/10 21:00	↗
5m #300185	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.553	expansion_after_compression	bear_low_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 36%	early 1b -1.1ATR	—	near -0.8ATR	0.95	85%	↑ +0.64	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:55 upd 12/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196437	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	0s	0.642	0.387	2/85	2026-10-12 21:00	2026-10-12 21:35
4h #196269	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	1h	0.593	0.440	9/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	1h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150475	fresh	2026-10-12 20:45	0s	$82,671.31	$83,955.88	$82,298.38	between	-4.50	5.85
7d #150560	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,247.72	$81,878.09	between	-3.50	5.14
30d #150390	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,396.47	value	-2.89	8.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,221.00	0.27%	0.78	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $174.00	+0.61
below	$82,132.63 → $82,353.63	0.27%	0.78	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $737.63	-2.60

Prix observé : $81,395.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.80	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $675.39	+1.46
below	$84,405.69 → $85,353.54	1.12%	2.05	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,010.69	-6.52
below	$86,406.71 → $86,670.00	0.30%	0.57	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,011.71	-10.86

Prix observé : $81,395.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.60	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,073.07	+8.70
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.00	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $941.13	+1.35
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.75	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,552.33	-7.95

Prix observé : $81,395.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	+0.69%	+1.11×	+1.24×	-0.02×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.69%	34.85%	0.78%	$70.03M	21:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+1.12%	+1.82×	+1.84×	-0.02×	1h	5m	Low first	0.93	0.00%	+1.12%	36.94%	1.15%	$200.28M	21:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+2.27%	+3.66×	+4.06×	-0.02×	2h35m	5m	Low first	0.48	0.00%	+2.27%	41.96%	2.52%	$636.02M	21:15 / 22:05	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+1.98%	+3.20×	+5.15×	-0.02×	7h10m	5m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+1.98%	40.43%	3.19%	$1.48B	21:15 / 22:05	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	+2.18%	+3.53×	+5.15×	-0.02×	7h10m	5m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+2.18%	36.41%	3.19%	$2.54B	21:15 / 22:05	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}