Observation #31531

← Research Observations / #31531

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,412.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,916,803,181

Synced: 10-12 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 21:00) Next (10-12 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0991

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 21:46:18 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000746%

Annualized6.54%

Premium-0.00044029

Settled at: 2026-10-12 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,992.85

OI (USD)$3,127,115,858

Mark price$82,308.00

Funding next0.000739%

Day vol (USD)$2,786,843,472

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.451%

Change 4h -1.238%

Change 24h -1.784%

Z-score 7d -1.95

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000036%

Avg 24h 0.000789%

Percentile 7d 17.3%

Percentile 30d 7.4%

Δ 4h -0.001286%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.150%

Divergence 0.86

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.172

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.82

OI momentum 4h

-1.931%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-12 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #299675	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.392	compression	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 36%	late 4b -1.7ATR	—	—	2.19	78%	↑ +0.62	value	-2.11	inside	#150135	—	—	—	—	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #300667	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.398	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	54%	noisy_chop 44%	early 1b -1.0ATR	—	—	1.20	86%	↑ +0.40	below_value	-3.50	—	#150560	—	—	—	—	12/10 21:00 upd 12/10 22:05	↗
15m #300602	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.423	expansion_after_compression	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 45%	late 4b 0.8ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.71	84%	↑ +0.33	below_value	-3.50	—	#150560	—	—	—	—	12/10 21:45 upd 12/10 22:00	↗
5m #300601	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.739	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 49%	late 13b 2.3ATR	—	—	0.31	49%	↓ -0.17	below_value	-3.50	—	#150560	—	—	—	—	12/10 21:55 upd 12/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196522	fresh	2026-10-12 21:00	0s	0.627	0.484	7/85	2026-10-12 22:00	2026-10-12 22:35
4h #196269	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	2h	0.593	0.440	9/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	2h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150646	fresh	2026-10-12 21:45	0s	$82,671.31	$83,154.75	$81,303.88	hvn	-0.88	6.28
7d #150732	fresh	2026-10-12 21:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,195.06	$81,825.43	hvn	-1.19	4.70
30d #150390	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,396.47	value	-2.89	8.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,248.63	0.31%	0.84	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,163.38	+3.95
below	$84,149.25 → $84,315.00	0.20%	0.56	0.51	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,737.25	-5.90

Prix observé : $82,412.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.73	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,692.39	+3.36
below	$84,405.69 → $85,353.54	1.12%	1.88	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,993.69	-3.95
below	$86,406.71 → $86,670.00	0.30%	0.52	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,994.71	-7.92

Prix observé : $82,412.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.60	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,090.07	+10.16
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.00	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,958.13	+2.81
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.75	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,535.33	-6.50

Prix observé : $82,412.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	+0.30%	+0.48×	+0.64×	-0.03×	15m	5m	Low first	0.98	0.00%	+0.30%	59.40%	0.42%	$64.17M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.50%	+0.79×	+1.20×	-0.03×	55m	5m	Low first	0.51	0.00%	+0.50%	36.16%	0.78%	$173.96M	22:55 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+1.32%	+2.11×	+2.75×	-0.03×	3h20m	5m	Low first	0.30	0.00%	+1.32%	41.07%	1.75%	$562.44M	22:55 / 23:35	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	+1.19%	+1.90×	+3.25×	-0.03×	6h10m	5m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+1.19%	42.25%	2.06%	$1.48B	22:55 / 23:35	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	+1.06%	+1.69×	+3.25×	-0.03×	6h10m	5m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+1.06%	35.67%	2.06%	$2.39B	22:55 / 23:35	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T01:46:18+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 822,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}