Observation #31703

← Research Observations / #31703

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,300.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,054,011,102

Synced: 10-13 01:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 23:00) Next (10-13 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5741

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 23:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00038914

Settled at: 2026-10-13 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,577.54

OI (USD)$3,130,828,805

Mark price$83,316.50

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,055,001,646

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 23:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.803%

Change 4h -3.241%

Change 24h -1.422%

Z-score 7d -1.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000530%

Avg 24h 0.000759%

Percentile 7d 32.7%

Percentile 30d 15.6%

Δ 4h +0.000718%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.819%

Divergence 5.62 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.082

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.91

OI momentum 4h

-5.565%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-12 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #301497	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.449	expansion	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 36%	early 5b -0.2ATR	—	—	2.83	90%	↑ +0.77	above_value	-0.21	—	#150904	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #301496	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.756	volatile_reversal	range_medium	32%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 3b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.54	53%	↑ +0.34	above_value	-0.21	—	#150904	—	—	—	—	12/10 23:00 upd 13/10 00:05	↗
15m #301429	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.552	expansion_after_compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 50%	late 12b 2.3ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.74	83%	↓ -0.29	above_value	-0.21	—	#150904	—	—	—	—	12/10 23:45 upd 13/10 00:00	↗
5m #301428	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.380	normal	bull_low	47%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 4b 2.1ATR	—	—	0.44	41%	↑ +0.23	above_value	-0.21	—	#150904	—	—	—	—	12/10 23:55 upd 13/10 00:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196692	fresh	2026-10-12 23:00	0s	0.611	0.554	12/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:35
4h #196777	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	0s	0.667	0.536	10/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	4h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150990	fresh	2026-10-12 23:45	0s	$82,671.31	$83,596.75	$81,966.88	value	2.19	5.67
7d #151076	fresh	2026-10-12 23:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,195.06	$81,930.75	value	0.54	4.19
30d #151162	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,396.47	hvn	-1.45	7.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,248.63	0.31%	0.86	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,051.38	+7.13
below	$83,707.25 → $83,900.63	0.23%	0.67	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↓ $407.25	-1.42
below	$84,149.25 → $84,315.00	0.20%	0.58	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $849.25	-2.95

Prix observé : $83,300.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.68	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,580.39	+4.78
below	$84,405.69 → $85,353.54	1.12%	1.76	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,105.69	-2.05

Prix observé : $83,300.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.53	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,978.07	+10.02
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.63	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,846.13	+3.57
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.66	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,647.33	-4.58

Prix observé : $83,300.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	00:05	00:20	-0.04%	-0.06×	+0.00×	-0.31×	5m	15m	High first	0.31	0.00%	-0.04%	29.71%	0.20%	$17.26M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	00:05	01:05	+0.01%	+0.01×	+0.31×	-0.31×	40m	15m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.01%	23.62%	0.39%	$89.97M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	00:05	04:05	+0.64%	+1.02×	+1.25×	-0.31×	3h35m	15m	Low first	0.18	0.00%	+0.64%	30.42%	0.98%	$447.66M	03:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	00:05	12:05	+0.11%	+0.17×	+1.44×	-0.53×	4h10m	8h15m	High first	0.01	0.00%	+0.11%	40.96%	1.24%	$1.37B	03:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	00:05	00:05	+0.32%	+0.51×	+1.44×	-0.86×	4h10m	13h50m	High first	0.01	0.00%	+0.32%	33.23%	1.45%	$2.16B	03:35 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}