Observation #31617

← Research Observations / #31617

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,900.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,061,873,676

Synced: 10-13 00:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.169

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 22:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000530%

Annualized4.64%

Premium-0.00045763

Settled at: 2026-10-12 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,687.64

OI (USD)$3,124,305,336

Mark price$82,900.00

Funding next0.000434%

Day vol (USD)$2,887,571,941

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 22:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.377%

Change 4h -1.482%

Change 24h -0.765%

Z-score 7d 0.52

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000746%

Avg 24h 0.000769%

Percentile 7d 35.7%

Percentile 30d 18.8%

Δ 4h -0.000145%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.950%

Divergence 2.88 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.122

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.88

OI momentum 4h

-3.010%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-12 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #299675	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.392	compression	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 36%	late 4b -1.7ATR	—	—	2.19	78%	↑ +0.62	value	-2.11	inside	#150135	—	—	—	—	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #301093	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.258	volatile_reversal	range_medium	36%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 2b 0.3ATR	—	—	1.26	88%	↑ +0.46	above_value	-1.19	—	#150732	—	—	—	—	12/10 22:00 upd 12/10 23:05	↗
15m #301023	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.583	expansion_after_compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 46%	late 8b 1.7ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.75	83%	↑ +0.23	above_value	-1.19	—	#150732	—	—	—	—	12/10 22:45 upd 12/10 23:00	↗
5m #301022	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.642	compression	range_low	38%	choppy 50%	late 25b 2.8ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.33	83%	↓ -0.21	above_value	-1.19	—	#150732	—	—	—	—	12/10 22:55 upd 12/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196607	fresh	2026-10-12 22:00	0s	0.594	0.487	7/85	2026-10-12 23:00	2026-10-12 23:35
4h #196269	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	3h	0.593	0.440	9/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	3h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150818	fresh	2026-10-12 22:45	0s	$82,671.31	$83,154.75	$81,414.38	hvn	0.81	6.14
7d #150904	fresh	2026-10-12 22:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,195.06	$81,878.09	hvn	-0.21	4.48
30d #150390	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,396.47	value	-2.89	8.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,248.63	0.31%	0.88	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,651.38	+5.83
below	$83,707.25 → $83,900.63	0.23%	0.68	0.52	continuation_up	✓	↓ $807.25	-2.85

Prix observé : $82,900.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.71	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,180.39	+4.21
below	$84,405.69 → $85,353.54	1.12%	1.83	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,505.69	-2.91
below	$86,406.71 → $86,670.00	0.30%	0.51	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,506.71	-6.78

Prix observé : $82,900.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.60	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,578.07	+10.86
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.00	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,446.13	+3.50
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.75	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,047.33	-5.80

Prix observé : $82,900.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	23:05	23:20	-0.12%	-0.19×	+0.14×	-0.20×	5m	15m	High first	0.58	0.00%	-0.12%	1.91%	0.22%	$11.46M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	23:05	00:05	+0.62%	+0.95×	+1.34×	-0.20×	35m	15m	Low first	0.40	0.00%	+0.62%	65.73%	1.00%	$171.81M	23:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	23:05	03:05	+0.92%	+1.42×	+1.88×	-0.20×	2h20m	15m	Low first	0.24	0.00%	+0.92%	38.60%	1.36%	$458.81M	23:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	23:05	11:05	+0.89%	+1.37×	+2.35×	-0.20×	5h10m	15m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.89%	42.64%	1.67%	$1.46B	23:35 / 03:35	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	23:05	23:05	+0.96%	+1.47×	+2.35×	-0.20×	5h10m	15m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.96%	35.32%	1.67%	$2.27B	23:35 / 03:35	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T02:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T02:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}