Observation #31958

← Research Observations / #31958

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,734.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,190,342,463

Synced: 10-13 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-13 02:00) Next (10-13 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8265

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 02:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000463%

Annualized4.05%

Premium-0.00046300

Settled at: 2026-10-13 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,039.18

OI (USD)$3,185,363,092

Mark price$83,739.00

Funding next0.000463%

Day vol (USD)$3,102,183,155

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.003%

Change 4h -0.924%

Change 24h -1.274%

Z-score 7d 0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000954%

Avg 24h 0.000834%

Percentile 7d 45.2%

Percentile 30d 26.1%

Δ 4h +0.000207%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.006%

Divergence 2.25 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.013

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.97

OI momentum 4h

+0.558%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-13 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #301497	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.449	expansion	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 36%	early 5b -0.2ATR	—	—	2.83	90%	↑ +0.77	above_value	-0.21	—	#150904	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #302786	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.637	volatile_reversal	range_medium	32%	noisy_chop 42%	late 6b 1.4ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.50	51%	↑ +0.27	above_value	+1.20	—	#151505	—	—	—	—	13/10 02:00 upd 13/10 03:05	↗
15m #302720	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.581	compression	bull_low	45%	noisy_chop 45%	late 24b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.28	33%	↓ -0.52	above_value	+1.20	—	#151505	—	—	—	—	13/10 02:45 upd 13/10 03:00	↗
5m #302719	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.369	compression	bull_low	46%	noisy_chop 37%	early 10b 1.8ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.48	23%	↓ -0.48	above_value	+1.20	—	#151505	—	—	—	—	13/10 02:55 upd 13/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #197031	fresh	2026-10-13 02:00	0s	0.541	0.541	30/83	2026-10-13 03:00	2026-10-13 03:35
4h #196777	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	3h	0.667	0.536	10/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	7h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #151590	fresh	2026-10-13 02:45	0s	$82,686.13	$83,686.83	$82,288.58	between	4.85	6.47
7d #151675	fresh	2026-10-13 02:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,195.06	$81,983.41	hvn	1.44	4.40
30d #151162	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,396.47	hvn	-1.45	7.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,246.75	0.30%	1.14	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,487.25	+11.51
below	$83,769.08 → $84,290.00	0.62%	2.41	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $35.0833	-0.16

Prix observé : $83,734.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.73	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,014.39	+5.99
below	$84,405.69 → $85,406.20	1.18%	1.99	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $671.69	-1.34

Prix observé : $83,734.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.53	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,412.07	+10.56
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.63	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,280.13	+4.12
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.66	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,213.33	-4.04

Prix observé : $83,734.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	+0.15%	+0.25×	+0.43×	0.00×	15m	5m	High first	1.00	0.00%	+0.15%	3.29%	0.25%	$22.72M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	+0.35%	+0.58×	+0.83×	0.00×	35m	5m	High first	0.28	0.00%	+0.35%	43.82%	0.49%	$160.65M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	-0.60%	-1.01×	+1.03×	-1.01×	1h10m	4h	High first	0.15	0.00%	-0.60%	34.88%	1.22%	$461.47M	04:10 / —	07:00 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	-0.44%	-0.74×	+1.03×	-1.40×	1h10m	10h50m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.44%	40.43%	1.44%	$1.34B	04:10 / —	07:00 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	-0.17%	-0.29×	+1.03×	-1.40×	1h10m	10h50m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.17%	33.08%	1.44%	$1.99B	04:10 / —	07:00 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T06:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}