Observation #32043

← Research Observations / #32043

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,822.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,263,643,997

Synced: 10-13 05:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7351

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 03:46:19 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000196%

Annualized-1.72%

Premium-0.00051570

Settled at: 2026-10-13 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,426.51

OI (USD)$3,225,944,242

Mark price$83,951.00

Funding next-0.000182%

Day vol (USD)$3,194,273,157

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.056%

Change 4h +0.933%

Change 24h -0.430%

Z-score 7d 1.43

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000463%

Avg 24h 0.000819%

Percentile 7d 29.8%

Percentile 30d 14.0%

Δ 4h -0.000067%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.627%

Divergence 0.27

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.027

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.95

OI momentum 4h

+4.173%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-13 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #303178	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.615	expansion	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.05	51%	↑ +0.77	above_value	+1.44	—	#151675	—	—	—	—	13/10 00:00 upd 13/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #303177	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.523	volatile_reversal	bull_medium	50%	noisy_chop 44%	late 7b 1.4ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.43	44%	↔ +0.01	above_value	+1.44	—	#151675	—	—	—	—	13/10 03:00 upd 13/10 04:05	↗
15m #303114	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.570	compression	bull_low	45%	noisy_chop 42%	late 28b 2.1ATR	—	—	0.81	67%	↔ -0.08	above_value	+1.44	—	#151675	—	—	—	—	13/10 03:45 upd 13/10 04:00	↗
5m #303113	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.687	expansion_after_compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.58	42%	↑ +0.56	above_value	+1.44	—	#151675	—	—	—	—	13/10 03:55 upd 13/10 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #197114	fresh	2026-10-13 03:00	0s	0.572	0.521	10/84	2026-10-13 04:00	2026-10-13 04:35
4h #197198	fresh	2026-10-13 00:00	0s	0.593	0.543	18/84	2026-10-13 04:00	2026-10-13 04:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	8h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #151760	fresh	2026-10-13 03:45	0s	$82,706.06	$83,729.70	$82,314.30	between	5.09	6.46
7d #151844	fresh	2026-10-13 03:00	0s	$83,010.25	$84,195.06	$82,036.07	value	1.63	4.34
30d #151928	fresh	2026-10-13 00:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,396.47	hvn	-0.51	6.89

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,252.75	0.31%	1.15	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,569.25	+11.72
above	$81,581.33 → $81,707.70	0.15%	0.58	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,114.30	+9.65
above	$82,162.65 → $82,314.30	0.18%	0.69	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,507.70	+6.88
below	$83,856.08 → $84,033.00	0.21%	0.81	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $34.0750	-0.16

Prix observé : $83,822.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,719.61	0.46%	0.74	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,102.39	+6.24
below	$84,405.69 → $85,406.20	1.18%	2.01	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $583.69	-1.17

Prix observé : $83,822.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.51	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,500.07	+10.36
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.55	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,368.13	+4.10
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.64	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,125.33	-3.81

Prix observé : $83,822.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	+0.05%	+0.09×	+0.44×	0.00×	10m	5m	Low first	0.16	0.00%	+0.05%	77.97%	0.26%	$35.39M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	-0.62%	-1.03×	+0.44×	-1.16×	10m	1h	High first	0.57	0.00%	-0.62%	33.93%	0.96%	$162.27M	— / —	05:00 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	-0.79%	-1.32×	+0.44×	-1.59×	10m	3h5m	High first	0.19	0.00%	-0.79%	42.38%	1.22%	$409.38M	— / —	05:00 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	-0.78%	-1.30×	+0.44×	-1.95×	10m	9h50m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-0.78%	38.79%	1.44%	$1.22B	— / —	05:00 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	-0.23%	-0.38×	+0.44×	-1.95×	10m	9h50m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.23%	32.24%	1.44%	$1.91B	— / —	05:00 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T07:46:19+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 821,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}