Observation #33437

← Research Observations / #33437

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,388.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,333,684,407

Synced: 10-13 22:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4603

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 20:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000433%

Annualized3.79%

Premium-0.00046536

Settled at: 2026-10-13 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,931.79

OI (USD)$3,165,028,292

Mark price$83,440.00

Funding next0.000410%

Day vol (USD)$2,562,105,594

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 20:50:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 10min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.078%

Change 4h -0.664%

Change 24h -0.873%

Z-score 7d -1.41

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000665%

Avg 24h 0.000694%

Percentile 7d 39.3%

Percentile 30d 17.2%

Δ 4h -0.000585%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.012%

Divergence 0.46

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.125

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.73

OI momentum 4h

-0.543%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-13 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309932	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.582	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.29	72%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:15	↗
4h #309848	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.478	volatile_reversal	range_high	31%	noisy_chop 32%	early 5b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.63	32%	↑ +0.61	above_value	+1.24	—	#154672	—	—	—	—	13/10 16:00 upd 13/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #310347	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.694	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 39%	early 16b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.07	2%	↓ -0.65	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:00 upd 13/10 21:05	↗
15m #310287	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.672	normal	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 44%	early 1b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.45	11%	↔ -0.12	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:45 upd 13/10 21:00	↗
5m #310286	fresh	5min	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.686	expansion	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 49%	early 2b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.61	38%	↑ +0.66	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:50 upd 13/10 20:55	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #198987	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	0s	0.483	0.528	53/76	2026-10-13 21:00	2026-10-13 21:35
4h #198835	fresh	2026-10-13 16:00	1h	0.529	0.501	19/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:37
1d #198911	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	1h	0.566	0.573	20/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #154982	fresh	2026-10-13 20:45	0s	$83,391.23	$83,747.67	$83,131.13	hvn	0.07	3.81
7d #155058	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	0s	$83,005.75	$83,977.00	$82,293.50	hvn	0.49	4.42
30d #154905	fresh	2026-10-13 16:00	1h	$83,857.70	$87,052.07	$81,710.67	hvn	-0.76	6.74

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,821.00 → $81,994.40	0.21%	1.07	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,393.60	+8.60
above	$82,437.53 → $82,630.20	0.23%	1.19	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $757.80	+4.68
below	$84,036.67 → $84,133.00	0.11%	0.59	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $648.67	-4.00

Prix observé : $83,388.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$84,408.67 → $85,531.00	1.32%	2.94	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,020.67	-2.68

Prix observé : $83,388.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.53	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,066.07	+10.18
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.64	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,934.13	+3.70
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.66	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,559.33	-4.49

Prix observé : $83,388.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	-0.04%	-0.09×	+0.09×	-0.22×	10m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.04%	8.53%	0.15%	$17.41M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+0.01%	+0.02×	+0.26×	-0.43×	50m	35m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.01%	23.62%	0.33%	$48.34M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+0.34%	+0.70×	+1.59×	-0.43×	2h35m	35m	Low first	0.12	0.00%	+0.34%	23.04%	0.98%	$217.19M	23:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	-0.70%	-1.45×	+1.95×	-1.80×	7h10m	11h40m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.70%	43.39%	1.81%	$1.13B	23:15 / —	08:30 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	-1.92%	-3.96×	+1.95×	-4.90×	7h10m	23h50m	High first	0.08	0.00%	-1.92%	41.36%	3.32%	$3.05B	23:15 / —	08:30 / 09:10	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T00:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T00:50:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 594,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}