Observation #33512

← Research Observations / #33512

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,290.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,266,947,671

Synced: 10-13 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-13 21:00) Next (10-13 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.492

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 21:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001118%

Annualized9.80%

Premium-0.00041052

Settled at: 2026-10-13 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,892.02

OI (USD)$3,158,185,856

Mark price$83,347.00

Funding next0.001152%

Day vol (USD)$2,376,438,969

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.368%

Change 4h -0.942%

Change 24h +0.216%

Z-score 7d -0.43

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000433%

Avg 24h 0.000751%

Percentile 7d 31.5%

Percentile 30d 13.1%

Δ 4h -0.000817%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.265%

Divergence 0.29

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.235

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.61

OI momentum 4h

-0.152%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

+16 crowded

Time: 2026-10-13 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:50:06 (10min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309932	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.582	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.29	72%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:15	↗
4h #309848	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.478	volatile_reversal	range_high	31%	noisy_chop 32%	early 5b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.63	32%	↑ +0.61	above_value	+1.24	—	#154672	—	—	—	—	13/10 16:00 upd 13/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #310691	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.659	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 37%	early 8b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.31	18%	↓ -0.47	above_value	+0.49	—	#155058	—	—	—	—	13/10 21:00 upd 13/10 22:05	↗
15m #310621	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.591	expansion	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 42%	early 1b -0.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	1.15	45%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+0.49	—	#155058	—	—	—	—	13/10 21:45 upd 13/10 22:00	↗
5m #310620	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.586	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.86	81%	↓ -0.37	above_value	+0.49	—	#155058	—	—	—	—	13/10 21:55 upd 13/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199063	fresh	2026-10-13 21:00	0s	0.454	0.501	57/75	2026-10-13 22:00	2026-10-13 22:35
4h #198835	fresh	2026-10-13 16:00	2h	0.529	0.501	19/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:37
1d #198911	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	2h	0.566	0.573	20/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #155134	fresh	2026-10-13 21:45	0s	$83,388.26	$83,669.88	$83,144.18	hvn	-0.60	3.21
7d #155210	fresh	2026-10-13 21:00	0s	$82,979.44	$83,900.23	$82,326.52	hvn	0.77	3.90
30d #154905	fresh	2026-10-13 16:00	2h	$83,857.70	$87,052.07	$81,710.67	hvn	-0.76	6.74

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,631.00 → $82,768.68	0.17%	0.84	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $521.32	+3.18
below	$83,920.22 → $84,133.00	0.25%	1.30	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $630.22	-3.85

Prix observé : $83,290.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,886.73	0.66%	1.33	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,403.27	+5.96
above	$81,020.67 → $81,322.02	0.37%	0.75	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,967.98	+4.88

Prix observé : $83,290.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.53	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,968.07	+10.06
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.64	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,836.13	+3.58
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.66	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,657.33	-4.62

Prix observé : $83,290.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	-0.02%	-0.05×	+0.09×	-0.16×	5m	15m	High first	0.29	0.00%	-0.02%	18.70%	0.12%	$17.49M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.40%	+0.81×	+0.89×	-0.31×	1h	35m	Low first	0.48	0.00%	+0.40%	25.75%	0.59%	$60.74M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+0.05%	+0.10×	+1.55×	-0.31×	1h35m	35m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.05%	24.33%	0.91%	$206.35M	23:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	-1.33%	-2.73×	+1.91×	-2.82×	6h10m	12h	High first	0.11	0.00%	-1.33%	48.54%	2.31%	$1.45B	23:15 / —	08:30 / 09:10	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-2.17%	-4.44×	+1.91×	-4.87×	6h10m	22h50m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-2.17%	41.96%	3.31%	$3.11B	23:15 / —	08:30 / 09:10	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}