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← Research Observations / #38867
🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MORPHO
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 15:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
14:00–15:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
15:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
16:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2.3344
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,699,563
Synced: 10-16 16:02 +1h
← Prev (10-16 14:00) Next (10-16 16:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationalt_capitulation
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.0314
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 14:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00002604
Settled at: 2026-10-16 15:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)2,740,084.20
OI (USD)$6,377,409
Mark price$2.3275
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$1,805,218
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.053%
Change 4h -0.590%
Change 24h -3.854%
Z-score 7d 0.02
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 83.8%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -2.595%
Divergence -1.32
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
4.034
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.26
OI momentum 4h
+0.552%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+921 crowded
Time: 2026-10-16 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329566
 fresh 19h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.545 compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% early 20b -0.3ATR — — 1.12 75% ↓ -0.33 above_value +1.02 — #163527 0.50 bull_high +7.23% -0.73
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:29
 ↗
4h
#336357
 fresh 3h ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.627 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 31% early 12b -0.4ATR — — 0.74 40% ↑ +0.45 above_value -1.11 — #166582 0.53 bear_high -2.09% +0.14
16/10 08:00
upd 16/10 12:18
 ↗
1h anchor
#337552
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.630 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 44% late 11b -2.1ATR near -0.1ATR — 3.93 95% ↑ +0.85 value -2.16 — #167157 0.71 bear_medium_confirmed -1.43% -0.28
16/10 14:00
upd 16/10 15:11
 ↗
15m
#337397
 fresh 15min ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.274 volatile_reversal bear_medium_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 45% mid 3b -1.5ATR — — 0.34 65% ↑ +0.38 value -1.47 — #166993 0.76 bear_low_confirmed -0.98% -0.21
16/10 14:30
upd 16/10 14:47
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#205826
 fresh 2026-10-16 14:00 0s 0.585 0.350 9/82 2026-10-16 15:00 2026-10-16 15:36
4h
#205581
 fresh 2026-10-16 08:00 3h 0.447 0.319 47/82 2026-10-16 12:00 2026-10-16 12:38
1d
#203901
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 19h 0.444 0.496 59/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#167075
 fresh 2026-10-16 14:45 0s $2.4200 $2.5009 $2.3652 between -4.61 7.31
7d
#167157
 fresh 2026-10-16 14:00 0s $2.4096 $2.4433 $2.2883 value -2.16 4.46
30d
#166665
 fresh 2026-10-16 08:00 3h $2.7114 $2.8182 $2.4543 between -4.51 5.07

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $2.3837 → $2.4069 0.97% 1.25 0.85 continuation_down ✓ ↓ $0.049333 -2.66
below $2.4408 → $2.4639 0.94% 1.25 0.67 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.106375 -5.73

Prix observé : $2.3344. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.2233 → $2.2683 2.00% 1.30 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.066100 +1.90
below $2.4933 → $2.5233 1.20% 0.86 0.76 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.158900 -4.57

Prix observé : $2.3344. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.0351 → $2.1300 4.56% 1.32 0.83 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.204380 +2.85
above $2.1379 → $2.2249 3.99% 1.21 0.81 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.109460 +1.53
below $2.9052 → $2.9843 2.69% 1.10 0.77 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.570800 -7.96

Prix observé : $2.3344. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T18:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}