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← Research Observations / #38946
🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MORPHO
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 16:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
15:00–16:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
16:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
17:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2.3475
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,624,733
Synced: 10-16 17:01 +1h
← Prev (10-16 15:00) Next (10-16 17:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.1321
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 15:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00005971
Settled at: 2026-10-16 16:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)2,687,479.20
OI (USD)$6,293,001
Mark price$2.3416
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$1,813,262
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -3.301%
Change 4h -3.821%
Change 24h -9.082%
Z-score 7d -2.47 extrême
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 83.8%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.673%
Divergence 1.05
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
3.533
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.56
OI momentum 4h
-2.654%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+922 crowded
Time: 2026-10-16 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329566
 fresh 20h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.545 compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% early 20b -0.3ATR — — 1.12 75% ↓ -0.33 above_value +1.02 — #163527 0.50 bull_high +7.23% -0.73
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:29
 ↗
4h
#338005
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.482 expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 31% early 3b -0.5ATR near -0.4ATR — 2.50 82% ↑ +0.70 above_value -1.81 — #167317 0.53 bear_high -1.79% +0.26
16/10 12:00
upd 16/10 16:17
 ↗
1h anchor
#338004
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.624 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% mid 12b -1.5ATR near 0.3ATR — 1.86 87% ↑ +0.86 above_value -1.81 — #167317 0.71 bear_medium -0.89% -0.25
16/10 15:00
upd 16/10 16:16
 ↗
15m
#337788
 fresh 15min ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.578 volatile_reversal bear_medium
49%
noisy_chop 42% early 3b -0.9ATR — — 0.07 27% ↑ +0.57 value -2.16 — #167157 0.76 range_low -0.65% -0.17
16/10 15:30
upd 16/10 15:47
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#205905
 fresh 2026-10-16 15:00 0s 0.590 0.477 7/79 2026-10-16 16:00 2026-10-16 16:36
4h
#205984
 fresh 2026-10-16 12:00 0s 0.557 0.366 13/79 2026-10-16 16:00 2026-10-16 16:38
1d
#203901
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 20h 0.444 0.496 59/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#167237
 fresh 2026-10-16 15:45 0s $2.4770 $2.5009 $2.3514 hvn -7.05 8.14
7d
#167317
 fresh 2026-10-16 15:00 0s $2.4096 $2.4433 $2.2883 hvn -1.81 4.53
30d
#167397
 fresh 2026-10-16 12:00 0s $2.7104 $2.8223 $2.4520 between -5.13 5.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $2.3837 → $2.4084 1.03% 1.34 0.83 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.036233 -1.97
below $2.4423 → $2.4639 0.88% 1.17 0.67 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.094817 -5.16

Prix observé : $2.3475. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.2233 → $2.2683 2.00% 1.32 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.079200 +2.31
below $2.4933 → $2.5233 1.20% 0.88 0.76 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.145800 -4.26

Prix observé : $2.3475. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.0586 → $2.1280 3.32% 0.96 0.83 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.219472 +3.02
above $2.1357 → $2.2283 4.24% 1.27 0.82 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.119188 +1.64
below $2.8994 → $2.9843 2.88% 1.17 0.77 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.551944 -7.60

Prix observé : $2.3475. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}