Observation #39718

← Research Observations / #39718

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,600.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,713,714,302

Synced: 10-17 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 02:00) Next (10-17 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5817

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00036649

Settled at: 2026-10-17 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,114.06

OI (USD)$3,354,167,297

Mark price$81,582.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,707,055,383

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 02:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.060%

Change 4h -0.054%

Change 24h -0.319%

Z-score 7d -0.15

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001240%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.176%

Divergence 0.48

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.231

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.52

OI momentum 4h

+0.223%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+40 crowded

Time: 2026-10-17 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339545	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 25b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.24	72%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-3.04	—	#167962	—	—	—	—	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:15	↗
4h #341052	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.489	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 4b -0.7ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.18	7%	↔ -0.15	value	-0.50	—	#168487	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #342209	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.360	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 40%	early 13b -0.2ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.16	12%	↓ -0.95	above_value	-0.32	—	#169006	—	—	—	—	17/10 02:00 upd 17/10 03:05	↗
15m #342142	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.529	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 38%	early 17b 0.8ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	2.12	39%	↓ -0.32	above_value	-0.32	—	#169006	—	—	—	—	17/10 02:45 upd 17/10 03:00	↗
5m #342141	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.667	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 39%	early 11b 1.1ATR	—	near -1.2ATR	3.28	63%	↔ -0.06	above_value	-0.32	—	#169006	—	—	—	—	17/10 02:55 upd 17/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206979	fresh	2026-10-17 02:00	0s	0.458	0.483	25/73	2026-10-17 03:00	2026-10-17 03:35
4h #206760	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	3h	0.513	0.454	12/73	2026-10-17 00:00	2026-10-17 00:37
1d #206389	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	7h	0.551	0.510	15/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #169080	fresh	2026-10-17 02:45	0s	$81,578.11	$82,012.17	$80,842.87	hvn	0.30	15.77
7d #169153	fresh	2026-10-17 02:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,322.02	$80,877.75	hvn	-0.18	7.33
30d #168710	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	3h	$83,504.29	$85,272.58	$80,875.75	value	-2.32	4.86

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,772.00 → $80,825.15	0.07%	0.72	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $774.85	+10.45
below	$82,419.65 → $82,898.00	0.58%	6.45	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $819.65	-11.05

Prix observé : $81,600.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	2.75	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $951.40	+2.85
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	0.80	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,447.66	-7.34

Prix observé : $81,600.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,861.25 → $77,817.08	1.24%	1.06	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,782.92	+4.18
above	$78,390.58 → $80,015.50	2.05%	1.79	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,584.50	+1.75

Prix observé : $81,600.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.03%	-0.08×	+0.06×	-0.16×	10m	15m	High first	0.53	0.00%	-0.03%	14.32%	0.09%	$2.44M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	+0.12%	+0.31×	+0.42×	-0.16×	30m	15m	Low first	0.43	0.00%	+0.12%	12.12%	0.23%	$22.87M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	+0.03%	+0.07×	+0.42×	-0.21×	30m	3h10m	High first	0.02	0.00%	+0.03%	12.37%	0.25%	$70.90M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	-0.17%	-0.42×	+0.42×	-1.40×	30m	10h	High first	0.04	0.00%	-0.17%	14.10%	0.72%	$359.55M	— / —	11:50 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+0.16%	+0.40×	+1.37×	-2.58×	20h45m	14h35m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.16%	18.84%	1.56%	$902.05M	23:40 / —	11:50 / 17:35	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T06:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}