Observation #39791

← Research Observations / #39791

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,696.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,696,563,164

Synced: 10-17 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 03:00) Next (10-17 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3611

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 03:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039109

Settled at: 2026-10-17 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,071.54

OI (USD)$3,353,819,859

Mark price$81,658.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,707,613,279

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.087%

Change 4h -0.057%

Change 24h -0.306%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001240%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.188%

Divergence 0.50

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.239

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.51

OI momentum 4h

-0.025%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+41 crowded

Time: 2026-10-17 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339545	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 25b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.24	72%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-3.04	—	#167962	—	—	—	—	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:15	↗
4h #342570	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.494	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 5b -0.5ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.09	1%	↓ -0.47	above_value	-0.18	—	#169153	—	—	—	—	17/10 00:00 upd 17/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #342569	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.659	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 14b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.09	3%	↓ -0.96	above_value	-0.18	—	#169153	—	—	—	—	17/10 03:00 upd 17/10 04:05	↗
15m #342502	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.531	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 46%	late 21b 1.8ATR	—	near -2.3ATR	0.70	8%	↑ +0.31	above_value	-0.18	—	#169153	—	—	—	—	17/10 03:45 upd 17/10 04:00	↗
5m #342501	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.829	expansion	range_low	45%	noisy_chop 48%	late 5b 1.9ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.08	1%	↔ -0.14	above_value	-0.18	—	#169153	—	—	—	—	17/10 03:55 upd 17/10 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207052	fresh	2026-10-17 03:00	0s	0.454	0.489	27/72	2026-10-17 04:00	2026-10-17 04:35
4h #207124	fresh	2026-10-17 00:00	0s	0.509	0.463	8/72	2026-10-17 04:00	2026-10-17 04:37
1d #206389	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	8h	0.551	0.510	15/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #169226	fresh	2026-10-17 03:45	0s	$81,578.11	$81,994.45	$80,842.87	value	1.59	15.56
7d #169299	fresh	2026-10-17 03:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,322.02	$80,877.75	hvn	0.11	7.56
30d #169372	fresh	2026-10-17 00:00	0s	$83,504.29	$85,177.00	$80,875.75	value	-2.22	5.06

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,772.00 → $80,825.15	0.07%	0.72	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $870.85	+11.77
below	$82,419.65 → $82,898.00	0.58%	6.46	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $723.65	-9.78

Prix observé : $81,696.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	2.84	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,047.40	+3.24
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	0.83	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,351.66	-7.28

Prix observé : $81,696.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,956.83 → $77,817.08	1.11%	1.01	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,878.92	+4.56
above	$78,390.58 → $80,015.50	2.05%	1.91	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,680.50	+1.98

Prix observé : $81,696.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	+0.02%	+0.06×	+0.06×	-0.07×	15m	5m	Low first	0.50	0.00%	+0.02%	5.61%	0.05%	$3.24M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	-0.01%	-0.04×	+0.06×	-0.25×	15m	50m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.01%	7.90%	0.12%	$12.16M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	-0.18%	-0.48×	+0.06×	-0.57×	15m	3h30m	High first	0.17	0.00%	-0.18%	11.59%	0.24%	$69.41M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	-0.14%	-0.38×	+0.06×	-1.80×	15m	9h	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.14%	14.13%	0.70%	$359.31M	— / —	11:45 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	-0.09%	-0.24×	+1.12×	-3.04×	19h45m	13h35m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	-0.09%	18.78%	1.56%	$893.17M	23:45 / —	11:45 / 17:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T07:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}