Observation #40422

← Research Observations / #40422

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,222.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,083,904,914

Synced: 10-17 14:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 12:00) Next (10-17 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.053

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 12:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000416%

Annualized3.65%

Premium-0.00046669

Settled at: 2026-10-17 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,903.02

OI (USD)$3,320,875,552

Mark price$81,189.00

Funding next0.000423%

Day vol (USD)$1,638,497,050

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 12:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.006%

Change 4h +0.068%

Change 24h -2.041%

Z-score 7d -0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000878%

Avg 24h 0.001188%

Percentile 7d 38.1%

Percentile 30d 24.2%

Δ 4h -0.000372%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.334%

Divergence -0.35

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.935

OI / Vol z-7d

0.22

OI momentum 4h

+0.100%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+50 crowded

Time: 2026-10-17 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339545	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 25b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.24	72%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-3.04	—	#167962	—	—	—	—	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:15	↗
4h #345532	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.490	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 7b -0.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.13	4%	↓ -0.80	above_value	-0.47	—	#170443	—	—	—	—	17/10 08:00 upd 17/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #345937	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.505	compression	bear_low	50%	noisy_chop 40%	late 18b -2.1ATR	—	—	2.66	53%	↔ +0.11	value	-1.36	—	#170582	—	—	—	—	17/10 12:00 upd 17/10 13:05	↗
15m #345878	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.488	volatile_reversal	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 42%	late 3b -2.3ATR	near -3.3ATR	—	2.13	69%	↑ +0.62	value	-1.36	—	#170582	—	—	—	—	17/10 12:45 upd 17/10 13:00	↗
5m #345877	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.613	volatile_reversal	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 2b -1.4ATR	—	—	1.97	99%	↔ +0.07	value	-1.36	—	#170582	—	—	—	—	17/10 12:55 upd 17/10 13:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207900	fresh	2026-10-17 12:00	0s	0.525	0.474	14/66	2026-10-17 13:00	2026-10-17 13:35
4h #207832	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	1h	0.509	0.460	7/68	2026-10-17 12:00	2026-10-17 12:37
1d #206389	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	17h	0.551	0.510	15/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #170716	fresh	2026-10-17 12:45	0s	$81,549.55	$81,708.49	$81,158.63	value	-3.76	6.32
7d #170783	fresh	2026-10-17 12:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,360.21	$80,877.75	value	-1.76	9.95
30d #170649	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	1h	$83,858.10	$85,031.12	$80,808.24	value	-3.06	5.52

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,772.00 → $80,969.61	0.24%	2.27	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $252.39	+2.90

Prix observé : $81,222.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.67	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $573.40	+2.30
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	1.07	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,825.66	-11.32

Prix observé : $81,222.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,210.00 → $77,617.63	1.83%	1.84	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,604.38	+4.71
above	$78,462.20 → $79,775.98	1.66%	1.72	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,446.02	+1.89

Prix observé : $81,222.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	13:05	13:20	+0.08%	+0.26×	+0.51×	0.00×	10m	5m	High first	1.00	0.00%	+0.08%	13.26%	0.15%	$18.92M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	13:05	14:05	+0.40%	+1.31×	+1.40×	0.00×	1h	5m	High first	0.81	0.00%	+0.40%	17.61%	0.42%	$48.74M	14:00 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	13:05	17:05	+0.60%	+1.98×	+1.98×	0.00×	4h	5m	High first	0.47	0.00%	+0.60%	11.69%	0.60%	$113.97M	14:00 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	13:05	01:05	+0.72%	+2.38×	+3.62×	-1.56×	10h45m	4h35m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+0.72%	22.46%	1.57%	$582.68M	14:00 / 17:05	17:35 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	13:05	13:05	+0.04%	+0.12×	+4.53×	-1.56×	16h40m	4h35m	Low first	0.00	0.00%	+0.04%	23.77%	1.85%	$1.30B	14:00 / 17:05	17:35 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}