Observation #40480

← Research Observations / #40480

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,355.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $840,600,392

Synced: 10-17 15:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 13:00) Next (10-17 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0758

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 13:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039634

Settled at: 2026-10-17 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,075.53

OI (USD)$3,341,260,536

Mark price$81,344.30

Funding next0.001200%

Day vol (USD)$1,128,069,883

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 13:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.446%

Change 4h -0.534%

Change 24h -2.338%

Z-score 7d -0.72

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000416%

Avg 24h 0.001155%

Percentile 7d 22.0%

Percentile 30d 13.3%

Δ 4h -0.000834%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.139%

Divergence 0.39

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.027

OI / Vol z-7d

0.33

OI momentum 4h

-0.208%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+51 crowded

Time: 2026-10-17 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339545	fresh	18h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 25b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.24	72%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-3.04	—	#167962	—	—	—	—	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:15	↗
4h #345532	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.490	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 7b -0.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.13	4%	↓ -0.80	above_value	-0.47	—	#170443	—	—	—	—	17/10 08:00 upd 17/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #346260	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.510	compression	bear_low	50%	noisy_chop 41%	late 19b -1.8ATR	—	—	1.37	32%	↑ +0.27	value	-1.76	—	#170783	—	—	—	—	17/10 13:00 upd 17/10 14:05	↗
15m #346202	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.512	volatile_reversal	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b -0.3ATR	near -1.7ATR	near -1.1ATR	1.30	62%	↑ +0.71	value	-1.76	—	#170783	—	—	—	—	17/10 13:45 upd 17/10 14:00	↗
5m #346201	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.378	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 11b 1.0ATR	—	near 0.5ATR	1.30	91%	↓ -0.40	value	-1.76	—	#170783	—	—	—	—	17/10 13:55 upd 17/10 14:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207966	fresh	2026-10-17 13:00	0s	0.508	0.491	26/58	2026-10-17 14:00	2026-10-17 14:35
4h #207832	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	2h	0.509	0.460	7/68	2026-10-17 12:00	2026-10-17 12:37
1d #206389	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	18h	0.551	0.510	15/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #170850	fresh	2026-10-17 13:45	0s	$81,545.96	$81,731.75	$81,284.33	value	-2.16	5.06
7d #170915	fresh	2026-10-17 13:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,360.21	$80,877.75	value	-1.24	10.06
30d #170649	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	2h	$83,858.10	$85,031.12	$80,808.24	value	-3.06	5.52

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,890.00 → $81,140.25	0.31%	2.83	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $214.75	+2.43

Prix observé : $81,355.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.72	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $706.40	+2.86
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	1.08	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,692.66	-10.92

Prix observé : $81,355.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,210.00 → $77,617.63	1.83%	1.84	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,737.38	+4.88
above	$78,462.20 → $79,775.98	1.66%	1.72	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,579.02	+2.06

Prix observé : $81,355.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	14:05	14:20	+0.04%	+0.12×	+0.23×	-0.12×	15m	10m	Low first	0.73	0.00%	+0.04%	2.25%	0.11%	$9.76M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	14:05	15:05	-0.01%	-0.04×	+0.29×	-0.12×	25m	10m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	-0.01%	8.81%	0.12%	$33.94M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	14:05	18:05	-0.38%	-1.28×	+0.78×	-2.92×	3h5m	3h35m	High first	0.18	0.00%	-0.38%	27.05%	1.10%	$229.81M	— / —	17:25 / 17:30	—	100%
12h	computed	14:05	02:05	+0.31%	+1.03×	+2.35×	-2.92×	9h45m	3h35m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.31%	22.46%	1.57%	$562.20M	21:35 / 23:45	17:25 / 17:30	—	100%
1d	computed	14:05	14:05	-0.35%	-1.19×	+3.28×	-2.92×	15h40m	3h35m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	-0.35%	23.64%	1.84%	$1.30B	21:35 / 23:45	17:25 / 17:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T17:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T17:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}