Observation #42156

← Research Observations / #42156

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.075280

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,279,801

Synced: 10-18 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-18 14:00) Next (10-18 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0993

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 14:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000139%

Annualized-1.22%

Premium-0.00051114

Settled at: 2026-10-18 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)717,293,996.00

OI (USD)$54,001,478

Mark price$0.075285

Funding next-0.000152%

Day vol (USD)$7,736,457

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.013%

Change 4h -1.451%

Change 24h -3.143%

Z-score 7d -0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 82.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.297%

Divergence -0.19

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.028

OI / Vol z-7d

0.51

OI momentum 4h

-1.288%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+80 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348297	fresh	19h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.387	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 40%	late 22b -1.4ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.54	56%	↓ -0.54	value	-1.61	—	#171726	0.54	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.99	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:22	↗
4h #353806	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.451	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	late 17b -2.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.04	55%	↓ -0.72	below_value	-4.34	inside	#174134	0.55	bear_high	-1.92%	-0.19	18/10 08:00 upd 18/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #354786	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.645	compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 45%	late 8b -2.8ATR	near -2.0ATR	—	3.61	88%	↑ +0.58	below_value	-5.41	inside	#174588	0.62	bear_low	-0.82%	-0.40	18/10 14:00 upd 18/10 15:10	↗
15m #354726	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.548	normal	bear_medium_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 40%	late 6b -1.8ATR	—	—	1.13	93%	↔ +0.04	below_value	-4.47	—	#174460	0.67	range_low	-0.41%	-0.24	18/10 14:45 upd 18/10 15:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210077	fresh	2026-10-18 14:00	0s	0.525	0.237	9/65	2026-10-18 15:00	2026-10-18 15:36
4h #209882	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	3h	0.385	0.198	42/67	2026-10-18 12:00	2026-10-18 12:38
1d #208554	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	19h	0.228	0.160	58/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174524	fresh	2026-10-18 14:45	0s	$0.075768	$0.078375	$0.075040	hvn	-1.04	7.14
7d #174588	fresh	2026-10-18 14:00	0s	$0.080382	$0.085398	$0.078267	lvn LVN	-5.41	7.56
30d #174202	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	3h	$0.095869	$0.107529	$0.079546	lvn LVN	-8.10	11.96

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.077858 → $0.078140	0.36%	0.60	0.40	reversion	—	↓ $0.002578	-5.51
below	$0.079502 → $0.080300	1.00%	1.71	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004222	-9.04
below	$0.080441 → $0.080676	0.29%	0.50	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005161	-11.04

Prix observé : $0.075280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.074882 → $0.076453	2.08%	1.67	0.70	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.087090 → $0.087816	0.83%	0.77	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011810	-12.50
below	$0.088057 → $0.089387	1.50%	1.41	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012777	-13.53

Prix observé : $0.075280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.074882 → $0.079122	5.51%	1.81	0.70	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.117280 → $0.125760	6.98%	3.63	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.042000	-17.95

Prix observé : $0.075280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T18:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}