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← Research Observations / #42225
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-18 16:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
15:00–16:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
16:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
17:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.073623
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $10,575,759
Synced: 10-18 17:02 +1h
← Prev (10-18 15:00) Next (10-18 17:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0
evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 15:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00038036
Settled at: 2026-10-18 16:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)731,070,022.00
OI (USD)$53,814,064
Mark price$0.073610
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$10,358,423
Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.444%
Change 4h -2.542%
Change 24h -2.814%
Z-score 7d 0.37
💰 Funding Context settled
Current -0.000139%
Avg 24h 0.001194%
Percentile 7d 10.7%
Percentile 30d 3.9%
Δ 4h -0.001389%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -3.134%
Divergence -0.09
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
6.980
OI / Vol z-7d
0.28
OI momentum 4h
-3.827%
Funding +ratio 24h
96.0%
Sign streak
-1
Time: 2026-10-18 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#348297
 fresh 20h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.387 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late 22b -1.4ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.54 56% ↓ -0.54 value -1.61 — #171726 0.54 bull_high +5.98% -0.99
16/10 20:00
upd 17/10 20:22
 ↗
4h
#355156
 fresh 0s ↓ down range range strong grind 0.452 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 46% late 18b -3.1ATR — — 1.37 66% ↓ -0.68 below_value -6.77 inside #174722 0.55 bear_high -2.26% -0.49
18/10 12:00
upd 18/10 16:15
 ↗
1h anchor
#355155
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.642 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 49% late 9b -3.7ATR — — 6.37 97% ↑ +0.80 below_value -6.77 inside #174722 0.62 bear_low_confirmed -1.19% -0.54
18/10 15:00
upd 18/10 16:14
 ↗
15m
#355044
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind 0.488 expansion bear_medium_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 50% late 1b -3.6ATR — — 0.63 90% ↑ +0.87 below_value -5.41 — #174588 0.68 bear_low_confirmed -0.77% -0.40
18/10 15:45
upd 18/10 16:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#210142
 fresh 2026-10-18 15:00 0s 0.515 0.139 28/68 2026-10-18 16:00 2026-10-18 16:36
4h
#210206
 fresh 2026-10-18 12:00 0s 0.358 0.097 44/68 2026-10-18 16:00 2026-10-18 16:38
1d
#208554
 fresh 2026-10-16 20:00 20h 0.228 0.160 58/64 2026-10-17 20:00 2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#174655
 fresh 2026-10-18 15:45 0s $0.075758 $0.077550 $0.072860 value -3.79 8.33
7d
#174722
 fresh 2026-10-18 15:00 0s $0.080385 $0.085597 $0.078287 lvn LVN -6.77 7.10
30d
#174789
 fresh 2026-10-18 12:00 0s $0.095869 $0.107953 $0.079546 lvn LVN -9.02 12.31

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $0.073967 → $0.074488 0.70% 0.93 0.37 continuation_down — ↓ $0.000344 -0.61
below $0.079504 → $0.080676 1.46% 2.08 0.75 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.005881 -10.44

Prix observé : $0.073623. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $0.073143 → $0.075309 2.92% 2.10 0.81 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00
below $0.075715 → $0.076392 0.89% 0.66 0.67 continuation_down ✓ ↓ $0.002092 -2.03
below $0.088439 → $0.089387 1.07% 0.92 0.89 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.014816 -14.39

Prix observé : $0.073623. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $0.074882 → $0.079122 5.51% 1.84 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↓ $0.001259 -0.55
below $0.117280 → $0.125760 6.98% 3.68 0.71 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.043657 -18.92

Prix observé : $0.073623. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}