Observation #42506

← Research Observations / #42506

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,272.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,042,711,755

Synced: 10-18 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 20:00) Next (10-18 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.932

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 20:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00031273

Settled at: 2026-10-18 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,263.38

OI (USD)$3,231,690,549

Mark price$82,308.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,049,370,133

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 20:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.461%

Change 4h -6.011%

Change 24h -5.351%

Z-score 7d -0.67

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000508%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.001162%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.656%

Divergence 6.66 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.687

OI / Vol z-7d

0.04

OI momentum 4h

-4.818%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-18 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #356458	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.472	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 3b 0.0ATR	near 0.3ATR	near -0.1ATR	1.77	79%	↓ -0.15	above_value	+0.24	—	#175140	—	—	—	—	18/10 16:00 upd 18/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #356922	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.657	volatile_reversal	range_medium	31%	noisy_chop 44%	late 4b 2.0ATR	—	near -1.8ATR	1.89	84%	↑ +0.85	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:00 upd 18/10 21:05	↗
15m #356862	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.606	expansion_after_compression	bull_low_confirmed	45%	choppy 46%	late 18b 2.3ATR	—	—	1.34	97%	↔ -0.03	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:45 upd 18/10 21:00	↗
5m #356861	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.550	expansion_after_compression	bull_low	51%	noisy_chop 46%	early 2b 1.4ATR	—	—	0.75	68%	↑ +0.21	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:55 upd 18/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210629	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	0s	0.641	0.554	15/66	2026-10-18 21:00	2026-10-18 21:35
4h #210495	fresh	2026-10-18 16:00	1h	0.588	0.519	10/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	1h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #175406	fresh	2026-10-18 20:45	0s	$81,135.66	$81,767.80	$80,768.87	lvn LVN	5.47	4.81
7d #175473	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	0s	$81,660.68	$82,940.10	$80,763.18	value	1.77	6.32
30d #175339	fresh	2026-10-18 16:00	1h	$83,504.76	$86,310.15	$82,182.68	between	-2.35	5.40

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,644.00 → $80,768.87	0.15%	0.60	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,503.13	+7.24
above	$81,283.94 → $81,393.20	0.13%	0.53	0.34	reversion	—	↑ $878.80	+4.23
inside	$82,204.83 → $82,517.00	0.38%	1.50	0.71	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $82,272.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,534.03	1.00%	2.33	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,737.98	+5.04
below	$83,971.28 → $84,315.00	0.41%	1.00	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,699.27	-4.93

Prix observé : $82,272.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.43	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,443.64	+1.89
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.10	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,360.61	-5.70

Prix observé : $82,272.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	+0.09%	+0.23×	+0.31×	-0.11×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.09%	14.17%	0.17%	$26.34M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+0.09%	+0.21×	+0.42×	-0.11×	50m	5m	Low first	0.18	0.00%	+0.09%	17.82%	0.22%	$85.17M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+0.17%	+0.40×	+1.36×	-0.22×	3h45m	1h25m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.17%	27.92%	0.65%	$291.09M	22:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+0.39%	+0.94×	+2.19×	-0.94×	6h30m	9h30m	High first	0.04	0.00%	+0.39%	31.39%	1.29%	$824.16M	22:45 / 03:30	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	-1.02%	-2.47×	+2.19×	-2.86×	6h30m	23h20m	High first	0.05	0.00%	-1.02%	31.78%	2.09%	$1.88B	22:45 / 03:30	09:55 / 20:15	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T00:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T00:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}