Observation #42573

← Research Observations / #42573

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,407.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,101,056,135

Synced: 10-18 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 21:00) Next (10-18 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.9423

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 21:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034400

Settled at: 2026-10-18 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,566.19

OI (USD)$3,262,192,484

Mark price$82,449.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,045,450,582

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.263%

Change 4h -3.417%

Change 24h -5.411%

Z-score 7d 0.34

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000544%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.001259%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.498%

Divergence 4.47 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.577

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.07

OI momentum 4h

-0.763%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-18 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #356458	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.472	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 3b 0.0ATR	near 0.3ATR	near -0.1ATR	1.77	79%	↓ -0.15	above_value	+0.24	—	#175140	—	—	—	—	18/10 16:00 upd 18/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #357252	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.621	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	33%	noisy_chop 46%	late 5b 2.3ATR	—	near -2.5ATR	0.67	48%	↑ +0.80	value	+1.77	—	#175473	—	—	—	—	18/10 21:00 upd 18/10 22:05	↗
15m #357192	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.504	expansion_after_compression	bull_low	45%	choppy 46%	late 22b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.42	74%	↓ -0.22	value	+1.77	—	#175473	—	—	—	—	18/10 21:45 upd 18/10 22:00	↗
5m #357191	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.573	compression	bull_low	49%	noisy_chop 40%	early 12b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.52	43%	↓ -0.45	value	+1.77	—	#175473	—	—	—	—	18/10 21:55 upd 18/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210695	fresh	2026-10-18 21:00	0s	0.585	0.554	22/66	2026-10-18 22:00	2026-10-18 22:35
4h #210495	fresh	2026-10-18 16:00	2h	0.588	0.519	10/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	2h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #175540	fresh	2026-10-18 21:45	0s	$81,139.86	$81,840.37	$80,769.93	between	6.58	5.56
7d #175607	fresh	2026-10-18 21:00	0s	$81,660.68	$82,901.91	$80,763.18	hvn	2.19	6.28
30d #175339	fresh	2026-10-18 16:00	2h	$83,504.76	$86,310.15	$82,182.68	between	-2.35	5.40

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,644.00 → $80,769.93	0.16%	0.65	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,637.07	+8.50
above	$81,273.67 → $81,383.86	0.14%	0.57	0.32	reversion	—	↑ $1,023.14	+5.31
above	$82,202.43 → $82,391.33	0.23%	0.98	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↑ $15.6750	+0.08

Prix observé : $82,407.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,495.83	0.95%	2.24	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,911.17	+5.61
below	$83,933.08 → $84,315.00	0.45%	1.12	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,526.08	-4.48

Prix observé : $82,407.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.43	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,578.64	+2.07
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.10	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,225.61	-5.53

Prix observé : $82,407.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	-0.08%	-0.19×	+0.34×	-0.21×	10m	15m	High first	0.42	0.00%	-0.08%	44.17%	0.24%	$20.11M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.15%	+0.36×	+0.91×	-0.43×	50m	25m	Low first	0.16	0.00%	+0.15%	39.24%	0.57%	$104.38M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+0.32%	+0.75×	+1.11×	-0.43×	2h45m	25m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+0.32%	28.10%	0.65%	$239.26M	00:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	-0.73%	-1.72×	+1.93×	-2.13×	5h30m	12h	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.73%	33.52%	1.72%	$927.10M	00:45 / —	06:30 / 10:00	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-1.11%	-2.61×	+1.93×	-3.70×	5h30m	23h10m	High first	0.05	0.00%	-1.11%	33.09%	2.39%	$1.90B	00:45 / —	06:30 / 10:00	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T01:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}