Observation #47483

← Research Observations / #47483

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,416.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,186,921,303

Synced: 10-21 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-21 18:00) Next (10-21 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5028

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 18:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000180%

Annualized1.58%

Premium-0.00048559

Settled at: 2026-10-21 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,604.31

OI (USD)$3,430,503,752

Mark price$84,486.20

Funding next0.000171%

Day vol (USD)$2,078,936,828

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 18:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.240%

Change 4h -0.192%

Change 24h -1.564%

Z-score 7d -0.32

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000181%

Avg 24h 0.000989%

Percentile 7d 6.0%

Percentile 30d 10.8%

Δ 4h -0.000587%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.043%

Divergence 0.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.652

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.03

OI momentum 4h

+1.773%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-21 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #373684	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.634	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 29b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.08	57%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+3.39	—	#182691	—	—	—	—	19/10 20:00 upd 20/10 20:15	↗
4h #381814	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.592	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 10b 1.9ATR	—	—	0.93	63%	↔ -0.11	above_value	+6.62	—	#185956	—	—	—	—	21/10 12:00 upd 21/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #383035	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.639	expansion_after_compression	bull_medium	64%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 3b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.53	36%	↑ +0.51	above_value	+7.95	inside	#186473	—	—	—	—	21/10 18:00 upd 21/10 19:05	↗
15m #382959	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.651	compression	bull_low	45%	noisy_chop 40%	early 5b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.48	28%	↓ -0.35	above_value	+7.95	—	#186473	—	—	—	—	21/10 18:45 upd 21/10 19:00	↗
5m #382958	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.406	normal	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 46%	late 15b -2.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.17	47%	↔ +0.01	above_value	+7.95	—	#186473	—	—	—	—	21/10 18:55 upd 21/10 19:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #216881	fresh	2026-10-21 18:00	0s	0.556	0.549	34/74	2026-10-21 19:00	2026-10-21 19:35
4h #216659	fresh	2026-10-21 12:00	3h	0.578	0.564	38/74	2026-10-21 16:00	2026-10-21 16:37
1d #214783	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	23h	0.538	0.550	14/77	2026-10-20 20:00	2026-10-20 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #186547	fresh	2026-10-21 18:45	0s	$84,523.77	$84,812.72	$83,451.88	hvn	-0.66	8.33
7d #186622	fresh	2026-10-21 18:00	0s	$81,544.63	$82,632.20	$80,840.90	between	7.06	4.41
30d #186177	fresh	2026-10-21 12:00	3h	$83,504.76	$84,826.84	$81,344.29	hvn	0.94	4.26

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,613.00 → $82,706.21	0.11%	0.57	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,709.79	+10.47
above	$83,209.53 → $83,340.03	0.16%	0.80	0.44	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,075.98	+6.59
above	$83,936.56 → $84,141.62	0.24%	1.26	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↑ $274.38	+1.68

Prix observé : $84,416.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,201.15	0.59%	1.15	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $4,214.85	+10.36
above	$83,655.80 → $84,338.20	0.81%	1.68	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↑ $77.8000	+0.19

Prix observé : $84,416.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.34	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,587.64	+4.39
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.03	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,216.61	-2.71

Prix observé : $84,416.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	19:05	19:20	0.00%	0.00×	+0.08×	-0.24×	15m	5m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	0.00%	20.65%	0.16%	$51.24M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	19:05	20:05	-0.17%	-0.34×	+0.11×	-0.74×	20m	55m	High first	0.27	0.00%	-0.17%	24.41%	0.42%	$175.71M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	19:05	23:05	-1.68%	-3.47×	+0.11×	-3.78×	20m	3h25m	High first	0.43	0.00%	-1.68%	35.36%	1.89%	$870.84M	— / —	21:35 / 21:40	—	100%
12h	computed	19:05	07:05	-2.77%	-5.70×	+0.11×	-6.61×	20m	10h10m	High first	0.29	0.00%	-2.77%	28.52%	3.26%	$1.89B	— / —	21:35 / 21:40	—	100%
1d	computed	19:05	19:05	-3.52%	-7.26×	+0.11×	-8.34×	20m	17h50m	High first	0.18	0.00%	-3.52%	32.21%	4.10%	$3.63B	— / —	21:35 / 21:40	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T22:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T22:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}