Observation #47557

← Research Observations / #47557

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,041.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,163,200,224

Synced: 10-21 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-21 19:00) Next (10-21 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2299

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 19:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000362%

Annualized-3.17%

Premium-0.00052895

Settled at: 2026-10-21 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,961.70

OI (USD)$3,444,674,202

Mark price$84,095.00

Funding next-0.000281%

Day vol (USD)$2,131,036,560

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 19:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.014%

Change 4h -0.280%

Change 24h -1.347%

Z-score 7d -0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000180%

Avg 24h 0.000946%

Percentile 7d 6.0%

Percentile 30d 10.8%

Δ 4h -0.000083%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.490%

Divergence -0.66

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.650

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.03

OI momentum 4h

-0.515%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-21 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	0s	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #383420	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.593	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 11b 1.8ATR	—	—	0.49	26%	↔ -0.15	above_value	+7.06	—	#186622	—	—	—	—	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #383419	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.638	normal	bull_medium	65%	noisy_chop 44%	early 4b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.87	58%	↑ +0.40	above_value	+7.06	inside	#186622	—	—	—	—	21/10 19:00 upd 21/10 20:05	↗
15m #383344	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.513	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 42%	late 9b -2.7ATR	—	—	1.99	85%	↔ -0.11	above_value	+7.06	—	#186622	—	—	—	—	21/10 19:45 upd 21/10 20:00	↗
5m #383343	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.726	expansion	range_low	39%	ranging_calm 51%	late 27b -3.2ATR	—	—	1.59	77%	↑ +0.61	above_value	+7.06	—	#186622	—	—	—	—	21/10 19:55 upd 21/10 20:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #216955	fresh	2026-10-21 19:00	0s	0.590	0.528	25/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:35
4h #217028	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	0s	0.548	0.526	24/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	0s	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #186697	fresh	2026-10-21 19:45	0s	$84,467.85	$84,812.72	$83,526.44	value	-2.61	7.87
7d #186771	fresh	2026-10-21 19:00	0s	$81,544.63	$82,632.20	$80,798.25	lvn LVN	6.10	4.48
30d #186845	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	0s	$83,500.83	$84,799.33	$81,378.88	hvn	0.92	4.27

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,613.00 → $82,706.21	0.11%	0.57	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,334.79	+8.16
above	$82,892.63 → $83,060.40	0.20%	1.03	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $980.60	+6.00
above	$83,209.53 → $83,302.74	0.11%	0.57	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $738.26	+4.51
above	$83,936.56 → $84,029.77	0.11%	0.57	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $11.2333	+0.07

Prix observé : $84,041.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,414.40	0.85%	1.67	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,626.60	+8.87
inside	$83,655.80 → $84,295.55	0.76%	1.56	0.79	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $84,041.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.42	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,168.85	+3.96
below	$86,636.24 → $87,333.00	0.80%	0.87	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,595.24	-3.24

Prix observé : $84,041.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	20:05	20:20	+0.05%	+0.11×	+0.22×	-0.03×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	+0.05%	0.27%	0.12%	$14.74M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	20:05	21:05	-0.09%	-0.20×	+0.33×	-0.34×	45m	1h	High first	0.17	0.00%	-0.09%	19.19%	0.31%	$61.21M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	20:05	00:05	-1.51%	-3.19×	+0.38×	-3.85×	1h20m	3h30m	High first	0.36	0.00%	-1.51%	36.86%	2.01%	$871.68M	— / —	21:35 / 21:55	—	100%
12h	computed	20:05	08:05	-2.92%	-6.15×	+0.38×	-6.42×	1h20m	9h10m	High first	0.31	0.00%	-2.92%	28.13%	3.23%	$1.84B	— / —	21:35 / 21:55	—	100%
1d	computed	20:05	20:05	-3.48%	-7.34×	+0.38×	-8.20×	1h20m	16h50m	High first	0.17	0.00%	-3.48%	32.08%	4.07%	$3.50B	— / —	21:35 / 21:55	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T23:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T23:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}