Observation #47705

← Research Observations / #47705

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,371.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,700,536,766

Synced: 10-21 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-21 21:00) Next (10-21 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.2414

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 21:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000315%

Annualized2.76%

Premium-0.00047480

Settled at: 2026-10-21 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,023.64

OI (USD)$3,340,933,040

Mark price$83,474.00

Funding next0.000372%

Day vol (USD)$2,271,223,712

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.392%

Change 4h +0.230%

Change 24h +0.018%

Z-score 7d -0.53

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000108%

Avg 24h 0.000836%

Percentile 7d 4.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 9.6%

Δ 4h +0.000530%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.679%

Divergence -2.80 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.567

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.13

OI momentum 4h

+1.036%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-21 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	2h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #383420	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.593	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 11b 1.8ATR	—	—	0.49	26%	↔ -0.15	above_value	+7.06	—	#186622	—	—	—	—	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #384394	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.696	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 4b -1.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	2.08	92%	↑ +0.40	above_value	+6.54	—	#186992	—	—	—	—	21/10 21:00 upd 21/10 22:05	↗
15m #384319	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.695	volatile_reversal	range_low	32%	ranging_calm 54%	late 3b -3.8ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	3.80	97%	↑ +0.69	above_value	+6.54	—	#186992	—	—	—	—	21/10 21:45 upd 21/10 22:00	↗
5m #384318	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.745	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	36%	noisy_chop 57%	late 2b -3.8ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	3.77	99%	↑ +0.77	above_value	+6.54	—	#186992	—	—	—	—	21/10 21:55 upd 21/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217246	fresh	2026-10-21 21:00	0s	0.614	0.482	17/74	2026-10-21 22:00	2026-10-21 22:35
4h #217028	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	2h	0.548	0.526	24/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	2h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187065	fresh	2026-10-21 21:45	0s	$84,467.85	$84,794.08	$83,619.65	between	-5.00	5.35
7d #187139	fresh	2026-10-21 21:00	0s	$81,544.63	$82,760.15	$80,883.55	between	4.15	4.27
30d #186845	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	2h	$83,500.83	$84,799.33	$81,378.88	hvn	0.92	4.27

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,855.34 → $83,265.46	0.49%	1.87	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $105.54	+0.48

Prix observé : $83,371.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,499.70	0.96%	1.75	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,871.30	+6.53
below	$83,655.80 → $84,082.30	0.51%	0.97	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $284.80	-0.65

Prix observé : $83,371.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.42	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,498.85	+3.12
below	$86,636.24 → $87,333.00	0.80%	0.87	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,265.24	-4.08

Prix observé : $83,371.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	-0.37%	-0.68×	+0.22×	-0.87×	10m	15m	High first	0.78	0.00%	-0.37%	48.85%	0.59%	$148.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	-0.48%	-0.87×	+0.22×	-1.15×	10m	25m	High first	0.42	0.00%	-0.48%	42.77%	0.75%	$386.96M	— / —	22:20 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	-0.61%	-1.11×	+0.22×	-1.46×	10m	3h55m	High first	0.18	0.00%	-0.61%	30.97%	0.92%	$658.84M	— / —	22:20 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	-1.80%	-3.29×	+0.22×	-4.23×	10m	11h50m	High first	0.19	0.00%	-1.80%	30.82%	2.43%	$1.97B	— / —	22:20 / 03:05	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-2.44%	-4.46×	+0.22×	-5.24×	10m	14h50m	High first	0.12	0.00%	-2.44%	31.94%	2.99%	$3.46B	— / —	22:20 / 03:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T01:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}