Observation #47781

← Research Observations / #47781

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,894.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,819,270,416

Synced: 10-22 00:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-21 22:00) Next (10-22 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1548

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 22:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00035984

Settled at: 2026-10-21 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,071.88

OI (USD)$3,319,514,636

Mark price$82,839.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,614,563,177

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.906%

Change 4h -1.443%

Change 24h -2.290%

Z-score 7d -2.51 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000315%

Avg 24h 0.000798%

Percentile 7d 11.3%

Percentile 30d 13.1%

Δ 4h +0.000134%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.803%

Divergence -1.78

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.471

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.24

OI momentum 4h

-1.252%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-21 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	3h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #383420	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.593	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 11b 1.8ATR	—	—	0.49	26%	↔ -0.15	above_value	+7.06	—	#186622	—	—	—	—	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #384775	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.671	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 40%	late 5b -1.8ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	2.89	96%	↑ +0.40	above_value	+4.15	—	#187139	—	—	—	—	21/10 22:00 upd 21/10 23:05	↗
15m #384700	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.717	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	34%	ranging_calm 58%	late 7b -3.7ATR	—	—	0.85	81%	↑ +0.75	above_value	+4.15	—	#187139	—	—	—	—	21/10 22:45 upd 21/10 23:00	↗
5m #384699	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.740	volatile_reversal	bear_low	36%	ranging_calm 55%	late 14b -2.4ATR	—	—	0.41	69%	↑ +0.47	above_value	+4.15	—	#187139	—	—	—	—	21/10 22:55 upd 21/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217320	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	0.678	0.480	5/75	2026-10-21 23:00	2026-10-21 23:35
4h #217028	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	0.548	0.526	24/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	3h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187213	fresh	2026-10-21 22:45	0s	$84,467.85	$84,794.08	$83,489.16	between	-6.84	5.67
7d #187289	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	$81,544.63	$82,802.80	$80,883.55	between	2.96	4.21
30d #186845	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	$83,500.83	$84,799.33	$81,378.88	hvn	0.92	4.27

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,613.00 → $82,762.13	0.18%	0.65	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $131.87	+0.57
below	$83,023.12 → $83,190.89	0.20%	0.73	0.44	continuation_down	—	↓ $129.12	-0.56

Prix observé : $82,894.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,499.70	0.96%	1.68	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,394.30	+5.25
below	$83,655.80 → $84,082.30	0.51%	0.94	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $761.80	-1.67

Prix observé : $82,894.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.42	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,021.85	+2.53
below	$86,636.24 → $87,333.00	0.80%	0.87	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,742.24	-4.67

Prix observé : $82,894.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	23:05	23:20	-0.16%	-0.29×	+0.08×	-0.31×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.16%	5.54%	0.21%	$46.24M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	23:05	00:05	+0.00%	+0.01×	+0.13×	-0.57×	1h	30m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.00%	32.74%	0.38%	$176.54M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	23:05	03:05	-0.52%	-0.95×	+0.19×	-1.04×	2h25m	4h	High first	0.19	0.00%	-0.52%	24.21%	0.67%	$418.50M	— / —	02:45 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	23:05	11:05	-1.45%	-2.65×	+0.19×	-3.38×	2h25m	10h50m	High first	0.15	0.00%	-1.45%	30.55%	1.95%	$1.72B	— / —	02:45 / 04:20	—	100%
1d	computed	23:05	23:05	-1.18%	-2.17×	+0.19×	-4.40×	2h25m	13h50m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.18%	31.86%	2.50%	$3.22B	— / —	02:45 / 04:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}