Observation #48922

← Research Observations / #48922

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,202.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,584,010,680

Synced: 10-22 15:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 13:00) Next (10-22 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0242

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 13:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00012238

Settled at: 2026-10-22 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,411.11

OI (USD)$3,529,323,552

Mark price$81,300.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,576,680,284

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 13:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -2.935%

Change 4h +1.934%

Change 24h +4.174%

Z-score 7d -3.71 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000808%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.616%

Divergence -1.92

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.991

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.79

OI momentum 4h

-1.033%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+17 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	18h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #390116	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.675	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 5b -1.0ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	1.41	81%	↑ +0.30	above_value	-0.52	—	#189353	—	—	—	—	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #390968	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.321	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	59%	choppy 53%	late 20b -2.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.76	70%	↑ +0.28	value	-0.76	—	#189729	—	—	—	—	22/10 13:00 upd 22/10 14:05	↗
15m #390891	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.401	expansion_after_compression	bear_low	50%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.41	59%	↓ -0.34	value	-0.76	—	#189729	—	—	—	—	22/10 13:45 upd 22/10 14:00	↗
5m #390890	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.491	compression	range_low	45%	noisy_chop 41%	early 7b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.40	45%	↓ -0.21	value	-0.76	—	#189729	—	—	—	—	22/10 13:55 upd 22/10 14:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218751	fresh	2026-10-22 13:00	0s	0.555	0.425	6/75	2026-10-22 14:00	2026-10-22 14:35
4h #218603	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	2h	0.586	0.486	7/74	2026-10-22 12:00	2026-10-22 12:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	18h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #189805	fresh	2026-10-22 13:45	0s	$81,810.25	$82,971.10	$80,911.00	value	-2.50	8.47
7d #189881	fresh	2026-10-22 13:00	0s	$81,607.88	$82,782.05	$81,029.55	value	-0.91	3.93
30d #189578	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	2h	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	value	-2.15	3.79

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,911.00 → $81,074.50	0.20%	0.67	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $127.50	+0.52
below	$83,494.30 → $84,017.50	0.62%	2.15	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,292.30	-9.42

Prix observé : $81,202.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	1.81	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,281.05	-5.11

Prix observé : $81,202.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.34	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $329.85	+0.39
below	$86,572.90 → $87,333.00	0.87%	0.89	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,370.90	-6.31

Prix observé : $81,202.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	14:05	14:20	+0.21%	+0.38×	+0.38×	-0.03×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.21%	43.77%	0.22%	$29.89M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	14:05	15:05	+0.42%	+0.76×	+0.86×	-0.03×	50m	5m	Low first	0.86	0.00%	+0.42%	17.98%	0.48%	$101.19M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	14:05	18:05	+0.57%	+1.04×	+1.19×	-0.03×	3h20m	5m	Low first	0.24	0.00%	+0.57%	21.39%	0.67%	$282.81M	15:25 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	14:05	02:05	+0.91%	+1.66×	+2.26×	-0.03×	9h50m	5m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	+0.91%	26.69%	1.25%	$963.98M	15:25 / 22:35	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	14:05	14:05	+0.61%	+1.11×	+2.35×	-0.03×	20h	5m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.61%	31.21%	1.30%	$2.02B	15:25 / 22:35	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}