Observation #48994

← Research Observations / #48994

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,381.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,565,889,567

Synced: 10-22 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 14:00) Next (10-22 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1333

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 14:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00007184

Settled at: 2026-10-22 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,077.34

OI (USD)$3,504,944,861

Mark price$81,364.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,633,914,450

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.544%

Change 4h +1.032%

Change 24h +6.693%

Z-score 7d 1.80

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000847%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.614%

Divergence -1.42

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.987

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.80

OI momentum 4h

-4.459%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+18 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	19h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #390116	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.675	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 5b -1.0ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	1.41	81%	↑ +0.30	above_value	-0.52	—	#189353	—	—	—	—	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #391359	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.319	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 48%	late 21b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.89	77%	↔ +0.13	value	-0.91	—	#189881	—	—	—	—	22/10 14:00 upd 22/10 15:05	↗
15m #391282	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.636	normal	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 39%	early 3b -0.3ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.57	61%	↓ -0.20	value	-0.91	—	#189881	—	—	—	—	22/10 14:45 upd 22/10 15:00	↗
5m #391281	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.544	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 11b 0.9ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.98	56%	↓ -0.19	value	-0.91	—	#189881	—	—	—	—	22/10 14:55 upd 22/10 15:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218826	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	0.565	0.438	7/75	2026-10-22 15:00	2026-10-22 15:35
4h #218603	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	0.586	0.486	7/74	2026-10-22 12:00	2026-10-22 12:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	19h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #189957	fresh	2026-10-22 14:45	0s	$81,834.40	$82,887.40	$80,911.00	value	-2.03	8.85
7d #190029	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	$81,607.88	$82,747.00	$80,994.50	hvn	-0.51	3.95
30d #189578	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	value	-2.15	3.79

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,470.60 → $84,021.40	0.66%	2.47	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,089.60	-9.36

Prix observé : $81,381.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	1.82	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,102.05	-4.74

Prix observé : $81,381.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.34	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $508.85	+0.60
below	$86,572.90 → $87,333.00	0.87%	0.89	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,191.90	-6.09

Prix observé : $81,381.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	15:05	15:20	+0.04%	+0.08×	+0.08×	-0.25×	15m	10m	Low first	0.35	0.00%	+0.04%	15.48%	0.17%	$14.92M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	15:05	16:05	+0.08%	+0.14×	+0.42×	-0.25×	50m	10m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+0.08%	22.31%	0.35%	$58.19M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	15:05	19:05	-0.04%	-0.08×	+0.43×	-0.44×	2h20m	1h50m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	-0.04%	20.85%	0.46%	$263.87M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	15:05	03:05	+0.48%	+0.89×	+1.54×	-0.63×	8h50m	5h25m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.48%	26.84%	1.15%	$887.66M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	15:05	15:05	+0.06%	+0.10×	+1.62×	-0.64×	19h	19h20m	High first	0.00	0.00%	+0.06%	31.17%	1.21%	$1.98B	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}