Observation #49068

← Research Observations / #49068

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,511.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,559,611,542

Synced: 10-22 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 15:00) Next (10-22 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.303

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 15:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001228

Settled at: 2026-10-22 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,442.59

OI (USD)$3,541,961,590

Mark price$81,532.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,587,265,915

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 15:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.769%

Change 4h -1.612%

Change 24h +5.793%

Z-score 7d -0.97

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000866%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.218%

Divergence 0.75

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.965

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.82

OI momentum 4h

-7.401%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	20h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #391735	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.673	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 6b -1.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	1.30	80%	↑ +0.37	above_value	-0.51	—	#190029	—	—	—	—	22/10 12:00 upd 22/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #391734	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.368	expansion	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.38	44%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.51	—	#190029	—	—	—	—	22/10 15:00 upd 22/10 16:05	↗
15m #391661	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.489	compression	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 35%	early 7b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.34	41%	↓ -0.51	above_value	-0.51	—	#190029	—	—	—	—	22/10 15:45 upd 22/10 16:00	↗
5m #391660	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.683	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 2b 1.4ATR	—	—	0.44	13%	↓ -0.27	above_value	-0.51	—	#190029	—	—	—	—	22/10 15:55 upd 22/10 16:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218901	fresh	2026-10-22 15:00	0s	0.532	0.441	7/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:35
4h #218973	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	0s	0.573	0.482	13/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	20h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190101	fresh	2026-10-22 15:45	0s	$81,834.40	$82,855.00	$80,911.00	value	-1.51	9.06
7d #190175	fresh	2026-10-22 15:00	0s	$81,607.88	$82,747.00	$80,994.50	hvn	-0.22	4.05
30d #190249	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	0s	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	between	-2.51	3.78

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,503.00 → $84,021.40	0.62%	2.42	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,992.00	-9.28
below	$84,507.40 → $84,637.00	0.15%	0.60	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,996.40	-13.96

Prix observé : $81,511.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	1.86	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,972.05	-4.56

Prix observé : $81,511.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,808.81	1.34%	1.26	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $702.19	+0.82
below	$86,509.56 → $87,333.00	0.95%	0.96	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,998.56	-5.84

Prix observé : $81,511.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	16:05	16:20	-0.12%	-0.22×	+0.04×	-0.23×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.12%	24.77%	0.14%	$17.47M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	16:05	17:05	-0.24%	-0.45×	+0.04×	-0.59×	5m	50m	High first	0.47	0.00%	-0.24%	18.64%	0.33%	$48.25M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	16:05	20:05	-0.24%	-0.45×	+0.30×	-0.59×	1h20m	50m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	-0.24%	20.53%	0.46%	$252.96M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	16:05	04:05	+0.18%	+0.34×	+1.42×	-0.79×	7h50m	4h25m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.18%	26.76%	1.15%	$870.90M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	16:05	16:05	-0.19%	-0.36×	+1.51×	-0.80×	18h	18h20m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.19%	31.17%	1.21%	$1.98B	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}