Observation #49435

← Research Observations / #49435

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,459.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,321,491,861

Synced: 10-22 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 20:00) Next (10-22 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_rotation

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.4487

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 20:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00013219

Settled at: 2026-10-22 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,137.52

OI (USD)$3,516,052,827

Mark price$81,508.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,559,650,773

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 20:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.454%

Change 4h -1.045%

Change 24h +4.949%

Z-score 7d 0.53

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001102%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.236%

Divergence 1.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.991

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.81

OI momentum 4h

+0.320%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+24 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393439	fresh	1h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	balanced	0.666	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 31b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.57	88%	↑ +0.35	above_value	-0.06	—	#190840	—	—	—	—	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:15	↗
4h #393338	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.588	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 7b -1.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.48	30%	↑ +0.35	above_value	-0.66	—	#190697	—	—	—	—	22/10 16:00 upd 22/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #393850	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.372	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 43%	early 8b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.95	74%	↓ -0.31	above_value	-0.06	—	#190840	—	—	—	—	22/10 20:00 upd 22/10 21:05	↗
15m #393778	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.398	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 42%	early 2b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	1.22	57%	↑ +0.33	above_value	-0.06	—	#190840	—	—	—	—	22/10 20:45 upd 22/10 21:00	↗
5m #393777	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.580	expansion_after_compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 6b 0.9ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.27	13%	↑ +0.81	above_value	-0.06	—	#190840	—	—	—	—	22/10 20:55 upd 22/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219486	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	0s	0.532	0.452	11/71	2026-10-22 21:00	2026-10-22 21:35
4h #219342	fresh	2026-10-22 16:00	1h	0.522	0.479	11/72	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:37
1d #219413	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	1h	0.528	0.464	4/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190982	fresh	2026-10-22 20:45	0s	$81,809.80	$82,394.73	$80,911.00	hvn	-2.32	9.83
7d #191053	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	0s	$81,432.63	$82,747.00	$80,994.50	hvn	0.07	4.48
30d #190911	fresh	2026-10-22 16:00	1h	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	between	-2.57	3.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,479.00 → $84,335.00	1.02%	5.67	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,020.00	-13.38

Prix observé : $81,459.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	2.06	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,024.05	-5.17

Prix observé : $81,459.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,808.81	1.34%	1.31	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $650.19	+0.79
below	$86,509.56 → $87,333.00	0.95%	1.00	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,050.56	-6.15

Prix observé : $81,459.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	-0.11%	-0.22×	0.00×	-0.58×	5m	15m	Low first	0.94	0.00%	-0.11%	27.30%	0.29%	$14.17M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	-0.26%	-0.52×	+0.72×	-0.69×	45m	35m	Low first	0.20	0.00%	-0.26%	43.82%	0.70%	$146.12M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+0.26%	+0.52×	+1.42×	-0.69×	2h50m	35m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.26%	33.39%	1.05%	$394.81M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+0.30%	+0.61×	+1.42×	-0.69×	2h50m	35m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.30%	26.24%	1.05%	$759.41M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	-1.02%	-2.05×	+1.51×	-2.42×	13h	22h10m	High first	0.05	0.00%	-1.02%	33.79%	1.95%	$2.19B	22:30 / —	18:45 / 18:50	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T00:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T00:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}