Observation #49507

← Research Observations / #49507

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,342.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,182,844,923

Synced: 10-22 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 21:00) Next (10-22 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.3533

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 21:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00005616

Settled at: 2026-10-22 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,044.60

OI (USD)$3,507,747,805

Mark price$81,491.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,456,378,268

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 21:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.346%

Change 4h -0.324%

Change 24h +5.726%

Z-score 7d 0.39

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001167%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.162%

Divergence 0.04

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.988

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.81

OI momentum 4h

-1.556%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+25 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393439	fresh	2h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	balanced	0.666	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 31b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.57	88%	↑ +0.35	above_value	-0.06	—	#190840	—	—	—	—	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:15	↗
4h #393338	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.588	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 7b -1.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.48	30%	↑ +0.35	above_value	-0.66	—	#190697	—	—	—	—	22/10 16:00 upd 22/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #394233	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.371	normal	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 9b -1.1ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	1.04	77%	↓ -0.38	above_value	+0.07	—	#191053	—	—	—	—	22/10 21:00 upd 22/10 22:05	↗
15m #394158	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.467	volatile_reversal	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b -0.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -0.1ATR	3.18	92%	↑ +0.44	above_value	+0.07	—	#191053	—	—	—	—	22/10 21:45 upd 22/10 22:00	↗
5m #394157	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.786	volatile_reversal	range_low	32%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 2b -0.5ATR	—	—	2.57	92%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+0.07	—	#191053	—	—	—	—	22/10 21:55 upd 22/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219557	fresh	2026-10-22 21:00	0s	0.538	0.444	10/71	2026-10-22 22:00	2026-10-22 22:35
4h #219342	fresh	2026-10-22 16:00	2h	0.522	0.479	11/72	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:37
1d #219413	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	2h	0.528	0.464	4/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #191124	fresh	2026-10-22 21:45	0s	$81,814.55	$82,102.50	$81,030.15	hvn	-2.41	5.47
7d #191198	fresh	2026-10-22 21:00	0s	$81,432.63	$82,747.00	$80,994.50	hvn	-0.22	4.33
30d #190911	fresh	2026-10-22 16:00	2h	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	between	-2.57	3.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,911.00 → $81,010.29	0.12%	0.51	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $331.71	+1.69
below	$82,340.80 → $82,459.95	0.14%	0.61	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $998.80	-5.09
below	$82,559.24 → $82,698.25	0.17%	0.71	0.73	reversion	✓	↓ $1,217.24	-6.20
below	$83,055.70 → $83,294.00	0.29%	1.21	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,713.70	-8.74

Prix observé : $81,342.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	1.99	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,141.05	-5.29

Prix observé : $81,342.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,808.81	1.34%	1.31	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $533.19	+0.65
below	$86,509.56 → $87,333.00	0.95%	1.00	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,167.56	-6.29

Prix observé : $81,342.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	+0.20%	+0.37×	+0.45×	-0.08×	10m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.20%	7.89%	0.28%	$11.60M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.81%	+1.52×	+1.73×	-0.08×	55m	5m	Low first	0.81	0.00%	+0.81%	36.70%	0.96%	$149.33M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+0.64%	+1.20×	+1.82×	-0.08×	1h50m	5m	Low first	0.19	0.00%	+0.64%	29.67%	1.01%	$284.07M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	+0.83%	+1.56×	+1.91×	-0.08×	12h	5m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.83%	27.08%	1.06%	$786.76M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-0.45%	-0.85×	+1.91×	-1.77×	12h	21h10m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.45%	32.96%	1.95%	$2.10B	22:30 / —	18:50 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T01:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T01:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}