Observation #58907

← Research Observations / #58907

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-28 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.165090

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,824,590

Synced: 10-29 00:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-28 22:00) Next (10-29 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_bound

Environmentrange_bound

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0695

evaluated_at: 2026-10-28 22:46:21 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039323

Settled at: 2026-10-28 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)86,477,906.80

OI (USD)$14,244,641

Mark price$0.164720

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,907,971

Snapshot at: 2026-10-28 22:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.663%

Change 4h -1.601%

Change 24h -3.359%

Z-score 7d -0.71

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000619%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -4.666%

Divergence -1.85

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.546

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.53

OI momentum 4h

-1.712%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

+11 crowded

Time: 2026-10-28 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444600	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.669	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 35b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.53	68%	↓ -0.48	value	+1.33	—	#211839	0.58	bull_high	+4.55%	+0.03	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:18	↗
4h #444518	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.490	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 32%	early 2b 0.5ATR	near -0.3ATR	near -0.2ATR	1.93	38%	↑ +0.54	value	+1.33	—	#211839	0.54	range_high	-0.37%	+0.18	28/10 16:00 upd 28/10 20:13	↗
1h anchor #445684	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.659	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	46%	noisy_chop 46%	late 6b -1.4ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.38	76%	↑ +0.34	value	-1.29	—	#212310	0.65	bear_medium_confirmed	-0.98%	-0.10	28/10 22:00 upd 28/10 23:09	↗
15m #445612	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.304	normal	bear_high	54%	choppy 53%	late 22b -3.0ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.22	29%	↑ +0.24	value	-0.96	—	#212172	0.67	bear_low_confirmed	-1.14%	-0.42	28/10 22:45 upd 28/10 23:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #231605	fresh	2026-10-28 22:00	0s	0.525	0.401	46/70	2026-10-28 23:00
4h #231341	fresh	2026-10-28 16:00	3h	0.530	0.439	29/66	2026-10-28 20:00
1d #231407	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	3h	0.326	0.404	40/66	2026-10-28 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #212239	fresh	2026-10-28 22:45	0s	$0.169232	$0.171856	$0.163664	value	-2.78	5.50
7d #212310	fresh	2026-10-28 22:00	0s	$0.168714	$0.179783	$0.163522	value	-1.29	5.81
30d #211906	fresh	2026-10-28 16:00	3h	$0.201868	$0.205290	$0.182021	between	-6.33	5.04

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.176080 → $0.178640	1.44%	1.72	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010990	-7.38

Prix observé : $0.165090. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.173122 → $0.177040	2.24%	1.40	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.008032	-2.87

Prix observé : $0.165090. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.161490 → $0.166509	3.06%	1.09	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.209396 → $0.216240	3.22%	1.48	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.044306	-9.60

Prix observé : $0.165090. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	23:05	23:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	23:05	00:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	23:05	03:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	23:05	11:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	23:05	23:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T02:46:21+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 819,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T02:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}