Observation #58978

← Research Observations / #58978

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-29 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.165290

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,791,302

Synced: 10-29 01:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-28 23:00)

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_bound

Environmentrange_bound

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0719

evaluated_at: 2026-10-28 23:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00038068

Settled at: 2026-10-29 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)86,417,480.20

OI (USD)$14,219,132

Mark price$0.164540

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,879,382

Snapshot at: 2026-10-28 23:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.857%

Change 4h -1.971%

Change 24h -3.952%

Z-score 7d -0.98

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000619%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.974%

Divergence -1.12

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.411

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.60

OI momentum 4h

-1.283%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

+12 crowded

Time: 2026-10-28 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444600	fresh	4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.669	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 35b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.53	68%	↓ -0.48	value	+1.33	—	#211839	0.58	bull_high	+4.55%	+0.03	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:18	↗
4h #446059	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.333	expansion	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 33%	early 1b -0.9ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	1.44	25%	↑ +0.54	value	-1.20	—	#212452	0.55	bear_high	-2.15%	-0.17	28/10 20:00 upd 29/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #446058	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.663	volatile_reversal	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 46%	late 7b -1.2ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.34	24%	↔ +0.07	value	-1.20	—	#212452	0.65	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.08%	-0.05	28/10 23:00 upd 29/10 00:12	↗
15m #445978	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.304	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 50%	late 26b -1.6ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.11	12%	↓ -0.44	value	-1.29	—	#212310	0.66	bear_low	-1.16%	-0.28	28/10 23:45 upd 29/10 00:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #231675	fresh	2026-10-28 23:00	0s	0.471	0.378	40/70	2026-10-29 00:00
4h #231745	fresh	2026-10-28 20:00	0s	0.430	0.252	46/70	2026-10-29 00:00
1d #231407	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	4h	0.326	0.404	40/66	2026-10-28 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #212381	fresh	2026-10-28 23:45	0s	$0.169232	$0.171856	$0.163536	value	-2.81	5.93
7d #212452	fresh	2026-10-28 23:00	0s	$0.168619	$0.179692	$0.163515	value	-1.20	5.84
30d #212523	fresh	2026-10-28 20:00	0s	$0.201868	$0.205290	$0.181565	lvn LVN	-7.44	4.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.176080 → $0.178640	1.44%	1.82	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010790	-7.68

Prix observé : $0.165290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.173144 → $0.176996	2.20%	1.39	0.72	reversion	✓	↓ $0.007854	-2.83

Prix observé : $0.165290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.161490 → $0.166509	3.06%	1.01	0.78	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.209396 → $0.216240	3.22%	1.38	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.044106	-8.87

Prix observé : $0.165290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	00:05	00:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	00:05	01:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	00:05	04:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	00:05	12:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	00:05	00:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T03:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T03:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}