Observation #60438

← Research Observations / #60438

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-29 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.233820

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $11,904,463

Synced: 10-29 20:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-29 18:00) Next (10-29 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0657

evaluated_at: 2026-10-29 18:46:24 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00003925

Settled at: 2026-10-29 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)81,890,450.00

OI (USD)$19,156,633

Mark price$0.233930

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$11,641,576

Snapshot at: 2026-10-29 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.482%

Change 4h -1.658%

Change 24h -2.382%

Z-score 7d 0.56

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 84.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -10.708%

Divergence -2.12 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.881

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.22

OI momentum 4h

-4.328%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+745 crowded

Time: 2026-10-29 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444773	fresh	23h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 42%	—	—	—	1.77	42%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+3.92	—	#211896	—	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.96	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:27	↗
4h #452350	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.640	volatile_reversal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 36%	early 9b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.89	46%	↑ +0.65	above_value	-3.88	—	#215056	0.37	bear_high	-0.86%	+0.69	29/10 12:00 upd 29/10 16:23	↗
1h anchor #453550	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.542	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 50%	late 7b -3.7ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	3.00	98%	↑ +0.79	below_value	-6.59	inside	#215617	0.64	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.93%	-0.88	29/10 18:00 upd 29/10 19:13	↗
15m #453463	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.747	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	choppy 50%	late 6b -2.7ATR	—	—	0.80	77%	↑ +0.82	value	-4.87	—	#215445	0.57	bear_medium	-1.68%	-0.80	29/10 18:45 upd 29/10 19:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #233454	fresh	2026-10-29 18:00	0s	0.428	0.148	77/86	2026-10-29 19:00
4h #233209	fresh	2026-10-29 12:00	3h	0.415	0.447	58/74	2026-10-29 16:00
1d #231463	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	23h	0.375	0.343	24/66	2026-10-28 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #215531	fresh	2026-10-29 18:45	0s	$0.279340	$0.291719	$0.249278	between	-9.04	8.42
7d #215617	fresh	2026-10-29 18:00	0s	$0.290840	$0.303685	$0.242962	between	-6.59	7.02
30d #215131	fresh	2026-10-29 12:00	3h	$0.288454	$0.409789	$0.242017	value	-1.80	11.63

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.250794 → $0.257867	2.78%	1.40	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.016974	-3.37
below	$0.290709 → $0.293740	1.04%	0.60	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.056889	-11.29

Prix observé : $0.233820. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.222721	2.12%	0.54	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011099	+1.28
below	$0.267095 → $0.272545	2.02%	0.63	0.41	reversion	—	↓ $0.033275	-3.84
below	$0.302907 → $0.311470	2.79%	0.99	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.069087	-7.98

Prix observé : $0.233820. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.227038	4.04%	0.62	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006782	+0.47
below	$0.436752 → $0.496670	12.84%	4.15	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.202932	-14.06
below	$0.556589 → $0.577560	3.70%	1.45	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.322769	-22.36

Prix observé : $0.233820. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	19:05	19:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	19:05	20:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	19:05	23:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	19:05	07:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	19:05	19:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T22:46:24+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 816,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}