Observation #60529

← Research Observations / #60529

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-29 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.228940

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,869,570

Synced: 10-29 21:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-29 19:00)

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0571

evaluated_at: 2026-10-29 19:46:26 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004816

Settled at: 2026-10-29 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)82,281,660.00

OI (USD)$18,792,226

Mark price$0.228389

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$11,945,512

Snapshot at: 2026-10-29 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.940%

Change 4h -0.162%

Change 24h -1.275%

Z-score 7d 1.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 84.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -13.360%

Divergence -3.67 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.646

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.35

OI momentum 4h

-2.264%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+745 crowded

Time: 2026-10-29 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #454297	fresh	0s	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 47%	—	—	—	1.00	27%	↓ -0.42	below_value	-7.37	inside	#215791	—	range_high	+0.21%	-1.00	28/10 20:00 upd 29/10 20:37	↗
4h #454270	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.644	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 38%	late 10b -1.9ATR	—	—	2.54	87%	↑ +0.73	below_value	-7.37	inside	#215791	0.40	bear_high_confirmed	-4.29%	-0.47	29/10 16:00 upd 29/10 20:35	↗
1h anchor #454266	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.545	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 52%	late 8b -3.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	1.36	92%	↑ +0.84	below_value	-7.37	—	#215791	0.64	bear_high_confirmed	-3.18%	-0.91	29/10 19:00 upd 29/10 20:35	↗
15m #453816	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.750	volatile_reversal	bear_high	44%	choppy 50%	late 9b -2.9ATR	—	—	0.71	76%	↑ +0.73	below_value	-6.59	—	#215617	0.57	bear_medium	-2.36%	-0.82	29/10 19:30 upd 29/10 19:49	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #233541	fresh	2026-10-29 19:00	0s	0.357	0.112	88/90	2026-10-29 20:00
4h #233627	fresh	2026-10-29 16:00	0s	0.439	0.358	66/90	2026-10-29 20:00
1d #233713	fresh	2026-10-28 20:00	0s	0.188	0.081	82/86	2026-10-29 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #215704	fresh	2026-10-29 19:45	0s	$0.279498	$0.287854	$0.246344	lvn LVN	-10.26	8.43
7d #215791	fresh	2026-10-29 19:00	0s	$0.290840	$0.303685	$0.242184	hvn	-7.37	7.08
30d #215878	fresh	2026-10-29 16:00	0s	$0.288454	$0.406793	$0.242017	between	-3.46	10.51

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.225320 → $0.230711	2.36%	1.09	0.69	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.251735 → $0.257665	2.33%	1.20	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.022795	-4.63

Prix observé : $0.228940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.222721	2.12%	0.54	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006219	+0.72
below	$0.267095 → $0.273324	2.30%	0.72	0.41	reversion	—	↓ $0.038155	-4.39
below	$0.302907 → $0.311470	2.79%	0.99	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.073967	-8.52

Prix observé : $0.228940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.436752 → $0.502662	14.03%	4.20	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.207812	-13.25
below	$0.559585 → $0.577560	3.16%	1.15	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.330645	-21.09

Prix observé : $0.228940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	20:05	20:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	20:05	21:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	20:05	00:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	20:05	08:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	20:05	20:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:46:26+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 814,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}