Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3286.93 XPL at 0.0755$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07364 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07796 (3.22 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 12:10:06
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 15:45
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.07553$
Qty 3286.9328 XPL
Size 248.2555$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07364 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.21$
SL 0.07796 (-3.22%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.78
Status
loss
PnL
-3.22%
/ -7.99$
MAE -5.01%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
11 Aug 18:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65941)
#25 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 12:00
score du 11/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4314
Quality Score
0.570
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 12:02
11/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#25 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.00×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 11/08 11:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5701
Score SMA
0.5354
Rank
#25
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4314
Rank Norm SMA
0.5700
Calculé le
11/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3082 | r1h: -2.191% · r4h: -4.026% · r1d: -5.33% · r3d: -1.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0548% · dist_ema21: -3.475% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3210 | rs_1h: -1.846% · rs_4h: -2.729% · rs_1d: -4.16% · rs_3d: 0.81% · beta_24h: 2.057 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9891 | rvol_20: 4.28× · zscore_50: 3.522 · trend: 91.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6640 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.290% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.217%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.843% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.026% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.274% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.009% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.009% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.009% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -3.51% | -0.45 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.40 | bear_medium | -0.77% | +0.40 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.37 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.52% | +0.01 | 11/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
56%
|
ranging_calm 49% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.21 | 11/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 7.216×ATR | p90 | -0.116×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.885×ATR | p0 | -0.292×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.076×ATR | p82 | -1.734×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.969×ATR | p87 | -3.596×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07796188
- tp_price: 0.0736398
- atr: 0.00097355
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T22:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 39
- total: 46
- score: 0.3082
- delta_2h: -0.2049
- extension_atr: -2.85
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4314
- confidence: 0.844
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07553 | 0.07796 | 0.07364 | 0.78 | 0.09194 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07553
- Stop Loss: 0.07796
- Take Profit: 0.07364
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07796 - 0.07553 = 0.00243
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07553 - 0.07364 = 0.00189
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00189 / 0.00243 = 0.7778
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248.2555 | 100 | 3286.9328 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00243
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00243 = 3292.18
Taille de position USD = 3292.18 x 0.07553 = 248.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 3292.18 avec un stoploss a 0.07796
Avec un position size USD de 248.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3292.18 x 0.00243 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3292.18 x 0.00189 = 6.22
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.22$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3292.18
- Taille de position USD 248.66
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.22
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7778
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.22 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2226 % | 100.16 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07553 | 0.07796 | 0.07364 | 0.78 | 0.09194 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07553
- Stop Loss: 0.07796
- Take Profit: 0.07364
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07796 - 0.07553 = 0.00243
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07553 - 0.07364 = 0.00189
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00189 / 0.00243 = 0.7778
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07364
[entry_price] => 0.07553
[stop_loss] => 0.078203
[rr_ratio] => 0.71
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 19:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07364
[entry_price] => 0.07553
[stop_loss] => 0.078446
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07364
[entry_price] => 0.07553
[stop_loss] => 0.078689
[rr_ratio] => 0.6
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 20:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07364
[entry_price] => 0.07553
[stop_loss] => 0.079175
[rr_ratio] => 0.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 20:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.217%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.843% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.026% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.274% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.009% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.009% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.009% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.