Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 634.72 SUI at 0.678$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6468 (4.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6909 (1.86 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 18:08:18
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 18:08
→ 01:25
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.6783$
Qty 634.7156 SUI
Size 430.5086$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6468 (+4.64%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.6909 (-1.86%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.86%
/ -8$
MAE -2.02%
MFE +0.04%
0.0R
expires
13 Aug 06:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67323)
#40 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 18:00
score du 12/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2421
Quality Score
0.467
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 18:00
12/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#40 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.71×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.37×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 12/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4668
Score SMA
0.5181
Rank
#40
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2421
Rank Norm SMA
0.4644
Calculé le
12/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4521 | r1h: -0.738% · r4h: -0.381% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: -2.79% · ema21_slope: -0.0289% · dist_ema21: -0.721% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4487 | rs_1h: -0.631% · rs_4h: -0.479% · rs_1d: -1.03% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 1.187 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2064 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.220 · trend: -56.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5183 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.637% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.858%
(0.0126)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -0.484% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -0.805% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -0.960% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.035% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -2.399% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -3.4ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.85% | -0.51 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.74 | bear_medium | -1.03% | +0.06 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bear_low | -0.95% | -0.18 | 12/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.27% | -0.04 | 12/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 39b | — | 4.003×ATR | p56 | -0.507×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.66×ATR | p0 | -0.11×ATR | p6 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.336×ATR | p73 | -1.096×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.136×ATR | p60 | -1.757×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7602
- reason: down_bo width=2.76×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.69087407
- tp_price: 0.64675983
- atr:
- score: 0.76023336986833
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T10:08:10.471818
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76023336986833
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0691
- obi_top10 : -0.1411
- micro_price : 0.67887895
- spread_pct : 0.014732
- mid_price : 0.67885
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0708
- obi_top5_std : 0.0099
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7186
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69671
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.684125
- balance_zone_mid:
0.6904175
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786381200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786572000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7564
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7602
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786568400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.684125
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7963
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2824
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00456567 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.7963
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2824
Signaux confirmants (23)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:08 | 0.67827000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 18:14 | 0.67827000 | -0.004% |
| 3 | 18:20 | 0.67901000 | +0.105% |
| 4 | 18:26 | 0.67901000 | +0.105% |
| 5 | 18:32 | 0.67901000 | +0.105% |
| 6 | 18:38 | 0.68069000 | +0.352% |
| 7 | 18:43 | 0.68069000 | +0.352% |
| 8 | 18:50 | 0.68033000 | +0.299% |
| 9 | 18:55 | 0.68033000 | +0.299% |
| 10 | 19:02 | 0.68033000 | +0.299% |
| 11 | 19:08 | 0.67945000 | +0.17% |
| 12 | 19:14 | 0.67945000 | +0.17% |
| 13 | 19:20 | 0.67910000 | +0.118% |
| 14 | 19:26 | 0.67910000 | +0.118% |
| 15 | 19:32 | 0.67910000 | +0.118% |
| 16 | 19:37 | 0.67945000 | +0.17% |
| 17 | 19:43 | 0.67945000 | +0.17% |
| 18 | 19:49 | 0.68075000 | +0.361% |
| 19 | 19:55 | 0.68075000 | +0.361% |
| 20 | 20:02 | 0.68075000 | +0.361% |
| 21 | 20:49 | 0.68245000 | +0.612% |
| 22 | 20:55 | 0.68245000 | +0.612% |
| 23 | 21:01 | 0.68245000 | +0.612% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7186ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.069
avg -0.071
± 0.010
OBI Top 10
-0.141
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6789
Micro Price
0.6789
Spread
0.0147%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6783 | 0.6909 | 0.6468 | 2.5 | 0.7446 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6783
- Stop Loss: 0.6909
- Take Profit: 0.6468
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6909 - 0.6783 = 0.0126
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6783 - 0.6468 = 0.0315
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0315 / 0.0126 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 430.5086 | 100 | 634.7156 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0126
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0126 = 634.92
Taille de position USD = 634.92 x 0.6783 = 430.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 634.92 avec un stoploss a 0.6909
Avec un position size USD de 430.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 634.92 x 0.0126 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 634.92 x 0.0315 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 634.92
- Taille de position USD 430.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.64 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9018 % | 102.38 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6783 | 0.6909 | 0.6468 | 2.5 | 0.7446 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6783
- Stop Loss: 0.6909
- Take Profit: 0.6468
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6909 - 0.6783 = 0.0126
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6783 - 0.6468 = 0.0315
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0315 / 0.0126 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.858%
(0.0126)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -0.484% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -0.805% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -0.960% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.035% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.035% | 0.0R | -2.399% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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