Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.6 XMR at 402.35$ per unit. Take profit: 405.2058 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 400.9221 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.6 XMR at 402.35$ per unit. Take profit: 405.2058 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 400.9221 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 402.35$
Qty 5.6026 XMR
Size 2254.2234$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 405.2058 (+0.71%)
TP $ 16$
SL 400.9221 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7481
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.44×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.180442 15m : 0.04594 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5474 | r1h: 0.198% · r4h: -0.880% · r1d: 1.89% · r3d: 2.77% · ema21_slope: 0.1333% · dist_ema21: 0.940% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5075 | rs_1h: -0.182% · rs_4h: -1.371% · rs_1d: 0.95% · rs_3d: 3.81% · beta_24h: -0.512 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1737 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.954 · trend: -35.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6458 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.162% | 0.5R | -0.711% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.211% | 0.6R | -0.711% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.211% | 0.6R | -1.869% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.211% | 0.6R | -2.192% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.211% | 0.6R | -2.438% | 6.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.84 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.47 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.14 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.42% | -0.09 | 13/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.491×ATR | p0 | +2.293×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.891×ATR | p66 | +1.167×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.393×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.403×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63705.7
0.00248434
63864
-0.180442
63635.9
0.0035835
63864
0.04594
64027.5
-0.00213251
63891
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409.24
196
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0.3254
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4.9116
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0.2251
0.34
-0.0432
0.5262
0.577
0.7652
0.7254
-3.1055
8.2025
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:07 | 402.35000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:18 | 401.71000000 | -0.159% |
| 3 | 11:47 | 401.18000000 | -0.291% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 10:25:00 | 404.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 408.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:20:00 | 405.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:55:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:35:00 | 404.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:55:00 | 406.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:10:00 | 405.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:35:00 | 402.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 405.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:05:00 | 402.3 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 14:30:00 | 394.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:45:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:45:00 | 398.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 391.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 23:30:00 | 391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 03:45:00 | 398.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 402.3 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 391.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 401.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402.35 | 400.9221 | 405.2058 | 2 | 512.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 400.9221 - 402.35 = -1.4279
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 402.35 - 405.2058 = -2.8558
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.8558 / -1.4279 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2254.2234 | 100 | 5.6026 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.4279 = -5.6
Taille de position USD = -5.6 x 402.35 = -2253.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.6 avec un stoploss a 400.9221
Avec un position size USD de -2253.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.6 x -1.4279 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.6 x -2.8558 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4921 % | 138.66 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402.35 | 400.9221 | 405.2058 | 2 | 512.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 400.9221 - 402.35 = -1.4279
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 402.35 - 405.2058 = -2.8558
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.8558 / -1.4279 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.162% | 0.5R | -0.711% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.211% | 0.6R | -0.711% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.211% | 0.6R | -1.869% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.211% | 0.6R | -2.192% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.211% | 0.6R | -2.438% | 6.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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