Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 11.34 TAO at 202.39$ per unit. Take profit: 203.8009 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 201.6845 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 11.34 TAO at 202.39$ per unit. Take profit: 203.8009 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 201.6845 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 202.39$
Qty 11.34 TAO
Size 2295.1022$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 203.8009 (+0.7%)
TP $ 16$
SL 201.6845 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7505
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.57×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.344591 15m : 0.522626 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5438 | r1h: -0.541% · r4h: 0.280% · r1d: 2.56% · r3d: 2.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0721% · dist_ema21: 0.913% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5461 | rs_1h: -0.436% · rs_4h: 0.312% · rs_1d: 2.59% · rs_3d: 3.04% · beta_24h: 1.195 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5752 | rvol_20: 1.49× · zscore_50: 0.842 · trend: 70.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5792 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.237% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.637% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.591% | 4.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.887% | 5.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.620% | 13.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.64 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -1.04% | +0.19 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.23 | 13/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.11% | -0.00 | 13/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.502×ATR | p0 | +0.656×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.605×ATR | p0 | +0.508×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.201×ATR | p2 | +0.701×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 3.379×ATR | p44 | -0.459×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63488
-0.0013876
63400
0.344591
63511.5
-0.00126768
63431
0.522626
63884.3
-0.00709581
63431
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 13:00:00
[1] => 203.93
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 19:00:00
[1] => 196.32
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 02:00:00
[1] => 205.96
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 10:00:00
[1] => 205.34
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 19:00:00
[1] => 197.61
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 02:00:00
[1] => 197.13
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 10:00:00
[1] => 198.67
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00
[1] => 198.17
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 19:00:00
[1] => 204.09
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
[1] => 205.56
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4059155477719
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2707776151789
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72027046891077
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 10:30:00
[1] => 198.67
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 15:00:00
[1] => 203.09
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 16:30:00
[1] => 198.17
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 19:00:00
[1] => 204.09
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:00:00
[1] => 201.8
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:15:00
[1] => 204.08
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:15:00
[1] => 204.08
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 201.83
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
[1] => 205.56
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:30:00
[1] => 202.57
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3475384316015
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10860443303549
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4760329762551
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 22:00:00
[1] => 203.2
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 22:10:00
[1] => 203.83
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 22:50:00
[1] => 203.77
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 23:15:00
[1] => 202.94
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 23:20:00
[1] => 203.96
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:20:00
[1] => 204.08
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 201.83
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:05:00
[1] => 205.56
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:45:00
[1] => 204.38
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:35:00
[1] => 202.35
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.97367648497897
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.019767729182106
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0032122559921
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
205.56
198
0.6823
0.5337
0.3589
0.2495
0.4483
1
0.1964
0.589
0.5934
0.7395
0.6096
0.4425
0.0864
0.0464
1
0.2675
0.645
0.35
0.65
1
1
1
0.5009
0.3492
4.1649
0.6
1.502
4.392
0.645
0.1641
0.2972
0.62
0.2512
0.5699
0.4841
0.8594
0.4425
-4.5376
3.6017
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:38 | 202.39000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:44 | 202.30000000 | -0.044% |
| 3 | 23:50 | 202.26000000 | -0.064% |
| 4 | 23:56 | 202.27000000 | -0.059% |
| 5 | 00:26 | 202.19000000 | -0.099% |
| 6 | 00:50 | 202.03000000 | -0.178% |
| 7 | 00:57 | 201.57000000 | -0.405% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 203.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:10:00 | 203.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:50:00 | 203.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 202.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:20:00 | 203.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:20:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 201.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:05:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:45:00 | 204.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:35:00 | 202.35 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 10:30:00 | 198.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 203.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 198.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 204.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 201.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:15:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 201.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:30:00 | 202.57 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 205.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:00:00 | 197.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 197.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:00:00 | 198.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 198.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 204.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202.39 | 201.6845 | 203.8009 | 2 | 232.28 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.6845 - 202.39 = -0.70549999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 202.39 - 203.8009 = -1.4109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4109 / -0.70549999999997 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2295.1022 | 100 | 11.34 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.70549999999997 = -11.34
Taille de position USD = -11.34 x 202.39 = -2295.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.34 avec un stoploss a 201.6845
Avec un position size USD de -2295.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.34 x -0.70549999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.34 x -1.4109 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.42 % | 120.48 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202.39 | 201.6845 | 203.8009 | 2 | 232.28 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.6845 - 202.39 = -0.70549999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 202.39 - 203.8009 = -1.4109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4109 / -0.70549999999997 = 1.9999
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 203.8009
[entry_price] => 202.39
[stop_loss] => 201.61395
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 04:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 203.8009
[entry_price] => 202.39
[stop_loss] => 201.5434
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 04:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 203.8009
[entry_price] => 202.39
[stop_loss] => 201.47285
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 04:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 203.8009
[entry_price] => 202.39
[stop_loss] => 201.33175
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 05:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.237% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.637% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.591% | 4.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.887% | 5.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.620% | 13.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.