Short Trade on CRV

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14 Aug 2026 at 09:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 959.28 CRV at 0.245$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2387 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2531 (3.39 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 09:10 → 15:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2448$

Qty 959.2786 CRV

Size 234.8314$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2387 (+2.49%)

TP $ 5.85$

SL 0.2531 (-3.39%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 0.73

Status win PnL +2.49% / +5.85$ MAE -1.54% MFE +2.51% 0.7R expires 14 Aug 15:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69186)

#15 / 47 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3033

Quality Score

0.542

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

5.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 09:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#15 / 47 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.39 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#15 / 47 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.39 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	3.07×ATR
4h	clear	0.55×ATR
1d	clear	2.13×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

14/08 06:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 14/08 08:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

14/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

14/08 08:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.5422

Score SMA

0.4610

Rank

#15 / 47

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3033

Rank Norm SMA

0.2130

Calculé le

14/08/2026 09:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3050	r1h: -1.576% · r4h: -2.076% · r1d: -4.36% · r3d: -9.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1481% · dist_ema21: -3.193%
Force Relative	25%	0.3122	rs_1h: -1.412% · rs_4h: -1.801% · rs_1d: -2.90% · rs_3d: -6.62% · beta_24h: -0.034
Volume	20%	0.8740	rvol_20: 3.65× · zscore_50: 2.544 · trend: 28.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6522	ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.443% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.391% (0.0083)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.544%	0.5R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.494%	0.2R	-1.544%	0.5R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.494%	0.2R	-1.544%	0.5R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+2.508%	0.7R	-1.544%	0.5R	1.6×	72
8h	+2.508%	0.7R	-1.544%	0.5R	1.6×	96
12h	+2.917%	0.9R	-1.544%	0.5R	1.9×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.2

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-5.66%	+0.97	13/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	0.38	bear_medium	-1.85%	-0.38	14/08 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	0.22	bear_low	-1.51%	-0.31	14/08 08:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_medium_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	—	bear_low	-0.78%	-0.31	14/08 08:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	2b	—	2.913×ATR	p13	+1.107×ATR	p68
4h	↓ down	late	14b	—	5.224×ATR	p88	-1.088×ATR	p68
1h	↓ down	late	15b	—	3.981×ATR	p78	-2.693×ATR	p93
15m	↓ down	late	5b	—	4.015×ATR	p68	-2.976×ATR	p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.2531396
tp_price: 0.23868
atr: 0.00333584
expires_at: 2026-08-14T19:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 46
total: 48
score: 0.305
delta_2h: -0.0533
extension_atr: -1.64
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3033
confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2448	0.2531	0.2387	0.73	0.313

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2448
Stop Loss: 0.2531
Take Profit: 0.2387

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2531 - 0.2448 = 0.0083
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2448 - 0.2387 = 0.0061
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0083 = 0.7349

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
234.8314	100	959.2786	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0083

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0083 = 963.86

Taille de position USD = 963.86 x 0.2448 = 235.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 963.86 avec un stoploss a 0.2531

Avec un position size USD de 235.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 963.86 x 0.0083 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 963.86 x 0.0061 = 5.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.88$

Résumé

Taille de position 963.86
Taille de position USD 235.95
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.88
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7349

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	5.85 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.39 %	7.96 $

PNL	PNL %
5.85 $	2.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.5441 %	45.54 %	14

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2448	0.2531	0.2387	0.73	0.313

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2448
Stop Loss: 0.2531
Take Profit: 0.2387

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2531 - 0.2448 = 0.0083
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2448 - 0.2387 = 0.0061
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0083 = 0.7349

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.391% (0.0083)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.544%	0.5R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.494%	0.2R	-1.544%	0.5R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.494%	0.2R	-1.544%	0.5R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+2.508%	0.7R	-1.544%	0.5R	1.6×	72
8h	+2.508%	0.7R	-1.544%	0.5R	1.6×	96
12h	+2.917%	0.9R	-1.544%	0.5R	1.9×	144

computed 1 month ago

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