Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 17191.36 DOGE at 0.0694$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06821 (1.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06984 (0.66 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 18:13:05
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 18:13
→ 21:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.06938$
Qty 17191.3613 DOGE
Size 1192.7023$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06821 (+1.69%)
TP $ 20.11$
SL 0.06984 (-0.66%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.54
Status
loss
PnL
-0.66%
/ -7.91$
MAE -1.59%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
17 Aug 06:12
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71617)
#2 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 18:00
score du 16/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3220
Quality Score
0.646
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 18:00
16/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.66 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.66 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.37×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 16/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 16/08 17:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1577
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 18:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6459
Score SMA
0.4795
Rank
#2
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3220
Rank Norm SMA
0.3441
Calculé le
16/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4533 | r1h: -0.646% · r4h: -0.883% · r1d: -0.83% · r3d: -1.14% · ema21_slope: 0.0027% · dist_ema21: -0.678% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4620 | rs_1h: -0.452% · rs_4h: -0.530% · rs_1d: -0.48% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 1.492 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 10.30× · zscore_50: 5.861 · trend: 198.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6385 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9860 | ATR%: 0.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.663%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.417% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.417% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.267% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.312% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.587% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.741% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 30% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.04 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_medium | -1.18% | +0.07 | 16/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_low_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.63 | range_low | -0.54% | -0.01 | 16/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_low_confirmed |
30%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | -0.07 | 16/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 43b | — | 4.705×ATR | p56 | -0.292×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 2.011×ATR | p0 | -0.495×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.85×ATR | p77 | -2.557×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -5.238×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8898
- reason: down_bo width=2.69×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.06984335
- tp_price: 0.06821463
- atr:
- score: 0.88975418501285
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T10:12:58.350689
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88975418501285
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1027
- obi_top10 : 0.1256
- micro_price : 0.06951984
- spread_pct : 0.014386
- mid_price : 0.069515
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1034
- obi_top5_std : 0.0004
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6811
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.07009
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069557
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0698235
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786726800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786917600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6856
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8898
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786914000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069557
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9019
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
20
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00019846 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.8333
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9019
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:13 | 0.06937800 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 18:37 | 0.06951800 | +0.199% |
| 3 | 18:43 | 0.06951800 | +0.199% |
| 4 | 18:48 | 0.06954300 | +0.235% |
| 5 | 18:55 | 0.06954300 | +0.235% |
| 6 | 19:01 | 0.06954300 | +0.235% |
| 7 | 19:49 | 0.06955300 | +0.249% |
| 8 | 19:55 | 0.06955300 | +0.249% |
| 9 | 20:01 | 0.06955300 | +0.249% |
| 10 | 20:37 | 0.06951500 | +0.195% |
| 11 | 20:43 | 0.06951500 | +0.195% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6811ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.103
avg 0.103
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.126
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0695
Micro Price
0.0695
Spread
0.0144%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06938 | 0.06984 | 0.06821 | 2.54 | 0.09438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06938
- Stop Loss: 0.06984
- Take Profit: 0.06821
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06984 - 0.06938 = 0.00046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06938 - 0.06821 = 0.00117
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00117 / 0.00046 = 2.5435
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1192.7023 | 100 | 17191.3613 | 12.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00046
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00046 = 17391.3
Taille de position USD = 17391.3 x 0.06938 = 1206.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 17391.3 avec un stoploss a 0.06984
Avec un position size USD de 1206.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17391.3 x 0.00046 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17391.3 x 0.00117 = 20.35
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.35$
Résumé
- Taille de position 17391.3
- Taille de position USD 1206.61
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.35
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5435
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.69 % | 20.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9441 % | 142.4 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06938 | 0.06984 | 0.06821 | 2.54 | 0.09438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06938
- Stop Loss: 0.06984
- Take Profit: 0.06821
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06984 - 0.06938 = 0.00046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06938 - 0.06821 = 0.00117
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00117 / 0.00046 = 2.5435
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06821
[entry_price] => 0.06938
[stop_loss] => 0.069886
[rr_ratio] => 2.31
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06821
[entry_price] => 0.06938
[stop_loss] => 0.069932
[rr_ratio] => 2.12
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06821
[entry_price] => 0.06938
[stop_loss] => 0.069978
[rr_ratio] => 1.96
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06821
[entry_price] => 0.06938
[stop_loss] => 0.07007
[rr_ratio] => 1.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.663%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.417% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.417% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.267% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.312% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.587% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.741% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.