Short Trade on MON (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 27118.64 MON at 0.0201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01982 (1.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02041 (1.44 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 22:45:09
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 22:45
→ 23:20
· 34 minutes
Position
Entry 0.02012$
Qty 27118.6441 MON
Size 545.5729$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01982 (+1.49%)
TP $ 8.14$
SL 0.02041 (-1.44%)
SL $ 7.86$
RR 1.03
Status
loss
PnL
-1.44%
/ -7.86$
MAE -1.83%
MFE +1.98%
1.4R
expires
17 Aug 10:45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71793)
#18 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 22:00
score du 16/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3864
Quality Score
0.603
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 22:32
16/08 22:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#18 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#18 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.86×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.44×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 16/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.6034
Score SMA
0.4728
Rank
#18
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3864
Rank Norm SMA
0.3560
Calculé le
16/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3878 | r1h: 0.457% · r4h: -2.169% · r1d: -3.08% · r3d: -6.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0971% · dist_ema21: -2.324% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3547 | rs_1h: -0.026% · rs_4h: -2.635% · rs_1d: -3.31% · rs_3d: -5.76% · beta_24h: 1.043 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9487 | rvol_20: 3.34× · zscore_50: 2.230 · trend: 240.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7240 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 12.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.441%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.393% | 0.3R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.393% | 0.3R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.726% | 0.5R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.978% | 1.4R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.978% | 1.4R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.15
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -5.07% | +0.44 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.41 | bear_medium | -1.20% | -0.56 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.34 | 16/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near -0.3ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.17% | -0.31 | 16/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 19b | — | 0.902×ATR | p0 | -0.378×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 6.924×ATR | p94 | -3.114×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.123×ATR | p2 | -2.557×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.126×ATR | p19 | -1.22×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.020413
- tp_price: 0.01982317
- atr: 0.00011793
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T14:45:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 38
- total: 40
- score: 0.3878
- avg_rank_8h: 37
- rank_velocity: 1
- pullback_depth_atr: 3.65
- trigger_price: 0.020127
- fip_24h: 0
- confidence: 0.949
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02012 | 0.02041 | 0.01982 | 1.03 | 0.02405 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02012
- Stop Loss: 0.02041
- Take Profit: 0.01982
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02041 - 0.02012 = 0.00029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02012 - 0.01982 = 0.0003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0003 / 0.00029 = 1.0345
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 545.5729 | 100 | 27118.6441 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00029
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00029 = 27586.21
Taille de position USD = 27586.21 x 0.02012 = 555.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 27586.21 avec un stoploss a 0.02041
Avec un position size USD de 555.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 27586.21 x 0.00029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 27586.21 x 0.0003 = 8.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position 27586.21
- Taille de position USD 555.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0345
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.49 % | 8.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.44 % | 7.86 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.86 $ | -1.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5656 % | 108.62 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02012 | 0.02041 | 0.01982 | 1.03 | 0.02405 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02012
- Stop Loss: 0.02041
- Take Profit: 0.01982
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02041 - 0.02012 = 0.00029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02012 - 0.01982 = 0.0003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0003 / 0.00029 = 1.0345
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01982
[entry_price] => 0.02012
[stop_loss] => 0.020439
[rr_ratio] => 0.94
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 03:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01982
[entry_price] => 0.02012
[stop_loss] => 0.020468
[rr_ratio] => 0.86
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 03:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.441%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.393% | 0.3R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.393% | 0.3R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.726% | 0.5R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.978% | 1.4R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.978% | 1.4R | -1.829% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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